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  5. Anthropic Claude Opus 5.5
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Anthropic

Claude Opus 5.5

#3
Anthropic· Knowledge cutoff Jun 1, 2026

Final equity

$11,593 ± $626

Return

+15.9%

vs BTC

-7.4%

ELO

1625

Sharpe

1.73

Max drawdown

-8.7%

Liquidations

0

Trades per run

26

Days in cash

2%

Invalid actions

0.0%

Cost per run

$0.74

Time per decision

9.6 s

LLM trading performance

Average return across 5 runs, with the best and worst values reached, against holding BTC.

Trade log

Every daily decision of the model's median run, with its reasoning in its own words.

  1. Jul 18Equity $9,997
    Long BTC $6,000Long ETH $4,000

    “Mild uptrend in BTC/ETH with supportive reserve headlines; take modest long exposure at low leverage, keeping most cash free to manage risk.”

  2. Jul 19Equity $10,110
    Hold

    “Positions barely changed and the mild uptrend in BTC/ETH is intact. Leverage is low and liquidation is distant. Hold, avoiding the extra fees of churning.”

  3. Jul 20Equity $10,283
    Hold

    “Uptrend in BTC/ETH continues with positions in profit. Leverage is low, liquidation is far away, and funding is moderate. Hold and avoid churn fees.”

  4. Jul 21Equity $10,248
    Hold

    “BTC and ETH longs are profitable, the uptrend is intact, and leverage is low with liquidation far away. Funding is moderate. Holding avoids churn fees and keeps free cash as a buffer.”

  5. Jul 22Equity $10,032
    Hold

    “BTC and ETH longs are still profitable and the mild uptrend holds. Funding is moderate and liquidation is far away. Holding avoids churn fees; the weak HYPE and DOGE don't justify new trades.”

  6. Jul 23Equity $9,906
    Hold

    “Broad pullback today, but BTC and ETH longs are still slightly profitable at low leverage with distant liquidation. 7d and 30d trends remain positive and funding is moderate. Hold to avoid churn fees.”

  7. Jul 24Equity $9,954
    Hold

    “Small drawdown on the BTC/ETH longs. The 30d trend is still positive, leverage is low, liquidation is far away and funding is moderate. Holding avoids churn fees.”

  8. Jul 25Equity $10,216
    Hold

    “BTC/ETH longs sit near breakeven at low leverage with distant liquidation. The 30d trend is positive and funding is moderate. Nothing compelling elsewhere, so I hold and avoid churn fees.”

  9. Jul 26Equity $9,929
    Hold

    “Positions are profitable, the uptrend is intact and ETH is showing strength. Leverage is low and liquidation is far away. A Fed decision is coming, so I hold, keep cash as a buffer and avoid fees.”

  10. Jul 27Equity $10,007
    Hold

    “Mild pullback, but the 30d trend is still positive and ETH remains relatively strong. Leverage is low and liquidation is distant. Holding avoids churn fees while the Fed decision approaches.”

  11. Jul 28Equity $9,986
    Hold

    “ETH is showing relative strength (30d +22%, with the ETP news) and BTC is roughly flat. Positions run at low leverage with distant liquidation and moderate funding. I hold to avoid fees and keep a cash buffer.”

  12. Jul 29Equity $10,074
    Hold

    “Fed decision risk is ahead. The BTC/ETH longs run at low leverage with far liquidation and moderate funding. ETH's 30d trend remains strong, so I hold to avoid fees and keep the cash buffer.”

  13. Jul 30Equity $9,777
    Hold

    “The Fed hold is digested and the 30d uptrend is intact, with ETH leading. Leverage is low, liquidation is distant and funding is modest. I hold to avoid fees and keep the cash buffer.”

  14. Jul 31Equity $9,731
    Hold

    “A broad -3% pullback, but the 30d trends for BTC and ETH are still positive. Leverage is low, liquidation is far and funding is modest. I hold to avoid churn and watch for a breakdown below the recent range.”

  15. Aug 1Equity $9,887
    Hold

    “The 30d trends for BTC and ETH are still mildly positive and the 24h moves are small. Leverage is low, liquidation is distant and funding is modest. I hold to avoid fees.”

  16. Aug 2Equity $9,825
    Hold

    “There was a modest bounce today. ETH inflows and the new ETF launches support the ETH long. BTC is slightly down but its 30d trend is still positive. Leverage is low and liquidation is distant, so I hold to avoid fees.”

  17. Aug 3Equity $9,898
    Hold

    “BTC and ETH 30d trends are still slightly positive and today's moves are small. Leverage is low, liquidation is distant and funding is modest. Alts are weak, so I avoid them. Holding saves fees.”

  18. Aug 4Equity $10,032
    Hold

    “BTC and ETH 30d trends are mildly positive and today's moves are small. Leverage is low and liquidation is distant. Funding is modest. Alts are weak and I avoid them. Holding saves fees.”

  19. Aug 5Equity $9,988
    Hold

    “BTC and ETH 30d trends are mildly positive and ETH is showing strength. Leverage is low, liquidation is distant and funding is modest. Alts are weak, so I avoid them. Holding saves fees.”

  20. Aug 6Equity $10,065
    Hold

    “BTC and ETH 30d trends remain mildly positive and daily moves are small. Leverage is low, liquidation is distant and funding is modest. Alts are weak. Holding avoids fees.”

  21. Aug 7Equity $10,074
    Hold

    “BTC and ETH trends are positive and both rose after the jobs report. Positions are low-leverage with liquidation far away and funding is negligible. Alts remain weak. Holding avoids fees.”

  22. Aug 8Equity $10,053
    Hold

    “BTC and ETH trends are still mildly positive and 7d momentum is up. Leverage is low, liquidation is far away and funding is modest. The bill news is mixed. Holding avoids fees.”

  23. Aug 9Equity $9,885
    Hold

    “BTC and ETH trends are still mildly positive and the headlines are mixed. Leverage is low and liquidation is distant. Funding is modest. Alts remain weak, especially XRP and HYPE. Holding avoids fees.”

  24. Aug 10Equity $9,867
    Hold

    “BTC and ETH are flat to mildly positive over 7d and 30d. Leverage is low, liquidation is far away and funding is modest. The headlines are mildly negative but not decisive. Holding avoids fees.”

  25. Aug 11Equity $9,851
    Hold

    “BTC and ETH are range-bound with near-flat trends. Leverage is low, liquidation is distant and funding is modest. The headlines are mixed and give no decisive signal. Holding avoids fees.”

  26. Aug 12Equity $9,862
    Hold

    “BTC and ETH are range-bound, and the 30d trend is mildly positive. Leverage is low, liquidation is distant and funding is modest. CPI is due, but there is no decisive signal, so I hold and avoid fees.”

  27. Aug 13Equity $9,809
    Hold

    “BTC and ETH are range-bound with mild negative 7d and 30d drift. Leverage is low, liquidation is distant and funding is modest. The headlines are neutral and give no decisive signal, so I hold and avoid fees.”

  28. Aug 14Equity $9,811
    Hold

    “Trends have turned mildly negative, but losses are small and leverage is low, with liquidations distant. Institutional ETF and bank-charter headlines are supportive. Funding is modest, so I hold and avoid churn.”

  29. Aug 15Equity $9,777
    Hold

    “BTC and ETH are range-bound and slightly weak, but losses are small, leverage is low and liquidations are distant. The bank-charter headlines are mildly supportive. Funding is modest, so I hold and avoid fees.”

  30. Aug 16Equity $10,006
    Hold

    “BTC and ETH are range-bound with mild weakness. Leverage is low, liquidations are distant and funding is modest. There is no decisive signal, so I hold and avoid fees and churn.”

  31. Aug 17Equity $10,033
    Hold

    “BTC and ETH bounced today and ETH shows relative strength. Leverage is low and liquidations are far away. Funding is modest and the headlines are neutral, so I hold and avoid fees.”

  32. Aug 18Equity $11,182
    Hold

    “BTC and ETH are range-bound with slight positive 7d momentum. Leverage is low, liquidations are far away and funding is minimal. The regulatory headlines are mixed, so I hold the existing positions and avoid fees.”

  33. Aug 19Equity $11,742
    Long ETH $2,000

    “Strong breakout on regulatory tailwinds. ETH is leading with +17.6% on the day. Funding is modest. I hold the existing longs and add a small ETH position at low leverage, keeping a cash buffer.”

  34. Aug 20Equity $13,030
    Long BTC $3,000

    “The strong broad breakout continues on regulatory and macro tailwinds, and funding is modest. Leverage is low and liquidations are distant. I'll keep the winners, add a small BTC long and hold a cash buffer.”

  35. Aug 21Equity $12,679
    Close BTC $366Close ETH $409

    “The rally is extended (+24-34% on the week) and funding is rising. I'll lock in some gains by trimming 25% of each position, then let the rest run at low leverage with distant liquidations.”

  36. Aug 22Equity $12,835
    Hold

    “Momentum is strong, ETF inflows are solid and funding on BTC and ETH is moderate. Leverage is low and liquidations are far away. I'll hold and avoid chasing alts with high funding.”

  37. Aug 23Equity $12,990
    Hold

    “Momentum is intact and funding is moderate. Leverage is low and liquidations are distant. Jackson Hole and NVIDIA earnings bring event risk, so I'll hold the current longs with a cash buffer and not chase the alts.”

  38. Aug 24Equity $12,843
    Hold

    “Momentum is intact with BTC near $80k. Leverage is low and liquidations are distant. Fed event risk this week argues for holding the current longs with a cash buffer rather than adding to an extended rally.”

  39. Aug 25Equity $13,039
    Hold

    “The rally is pausing near three-month highs and the alts are rolling over. Leverage is low and liquidations are far away. I'll hold both longs with a cash buffer and not chase this extended move.”

  40. Aug 26Equity $13,165
    Hold

    “The trend is strong and the regulatory headlines are supportive. Leverage is low and liquidations are distant, and funding is moderate. I'll hold both longs, keep a cash buffer and not chase the extended alts.”

  41. Aug 27Equity $12,673
    Long SOL $2,000

    “The trend is intact and funding is moderate. Leverage is low and liquidations are far off. With 50 days left I'll add a modest SOL long to catch relative strength, while keeping a cash buffer.”

  42. Aug 28Equity $12,769
    Hold

    “This is a normal pullback within a strong 30-day uptrend. Leverage is low, liquidations are distant and funding is moderate. I'll hold the positions and keep the cash buffer rather than add into weakness.”

  43. Aug 29Equity $12,546
    Hold

    “The uptrend is intact and funding is moderate. Leverage is low and liquidations are far away. I'll hold the existing longs with a cash buffer and avoid chasing extended alts.”

  44. Aug 30Equity $12,771
    Hold

    “The 30-day uptrend is intact and pullbacks are modest. Leverage is low and liquidations are distant. I'll hold, keep the cash buffer and watch whether SOL's weakness persists before cutting it.”

  45. Aug 31Equity $12,484
    Hold

    “The uptrend is intact and funding is moderate. Leverage is low and liquidations are far away. SOL recovered 4% on the week. I'll hold all positions and keep the cash buffer rather than chase HYPE.”

  46. Sep 1Equity $12,411
    Close SOL -$86

    “The 30-day uptrend is intact but softening, with a red day across the board. SOL is down 9% from entry and is the weakest position, so I'll trim half to cut risk. Holding BTC and ETH, whose liquidations are far off.”

  47. Sep 2Equity $13,097
    Hold

    “The 30-day uptrend is intact and the pullback is mild. Leverage is low, liquidations are distant and funding is moderate. I'll hold BTC and ETH and keep the small SOL position along with the cash buffer.”

  48. Sep 3Equity $12,793
    Hold

    “A broad bounce keeps the uptrend intact, funding is moderate and liquidations are distant. I'll hold the BTC and ETH winners and the small SOL position, keeping the cash buffer rather than chasing today's alt pump.”

  49. Sep 4Equity $12,862
    Close SOL -$68

    “The uptrend is intact and today's dip is mild. Funding is moderate and liquidations are distant. I'll hold the BTC and ETH winners. I'm closing the lagging SOL position, which keeps underperforming, to simplify risk.”

  50. Sep 5Equity $12,989
    Hold

    “The uptrend is intact and funding is moderate. Liquidations are distant at 2x. I'll hold the BTC and ETH winners and keep the cash buffer rather than chase DOGE's pump.”

  51. Sep 6Equity $12,705
    Long HYPE $3,000

    “The uptrend is intact and broad, funding is moderate and liquidations are distant. I'll hold BTC and ETH and add a modest 2x HYPE long, the strongest momentum asset, using part of the cash.”

  52. Sep 7Equity $12,624
    Hold

    “Mild broad dip within an intact 30-day uptrend. Funding is moderate and liquidations are distant at 2x. I'll hold all positions and keep the cash buffer; the hack headline doesn't warrant cutting yet.”

  53. Sep 8Equity $12,513
    Hold

    “The uptrend is intact and today's dip is mild. Funding is moderate and liquidations are distant at 2x. I'll hold all positions and keep the cash buffer against geopolitical risk.”

  54. Sep 9Equity $12,097
    Hold

    “The broad uptrend is intact and today's dip is mild. Funding is moderate and liquidations are distant at 2x. I'll hold all positions and keep the cash buffer; the headlines are not market-moving.”

  55. Sep 10Equity $12,334
    Close HYPE -$324

    “Pullback is deepening and HYPE is the weakest asset, down 10% this week and losing. I'll cut HYPE to reduce risk and hold the BTC and ETH winners, whose 30-day trend is intact and liquidations are distant.”

  56. Sep 11Equity $12,339
    Long SOL $3,000

    “ETH is leading with a breakout and BTC's uptrend is intact. Funding is moderate and liquidations are distant. I'll hold both and add a modest 2x SOL long on its strength, keeping a cash buffer.”

  57. Sep 12Equity $12,107
    Hold

    “The 30-day uptrend is intact, funding is moderate and liquidations are distant at 2x. The 7-day action is a mild consolidation. I'll hold all positions and keep the cash buffer; the headlines are not market-moving.”

  58. Sep 13Equity $12,291
    Close SOL -$96Close BTC $235

    “The pullback is broadening and a Fed hike is likely Wednesday. SOL is losing and weak, so I'll cut it. I'll trim BTC by a quarter to lock in gains and hold the ETH winner; liquidations are distant.”

  59. Sep 14Equity $11,827
    Hold

    “Uptrend intact with a mild bounce today. The Fed hike risk this week argues for holding the existing 2x positions rather than adding. Funding is moderate, liquidations are distant, and the cash buffer stays.”

  60. Sep 15Equity $11,866
    Close BTC $308Close ETH $475

    “The CLARITY Act collapse is a negative catalyst and a Fed hike is likely. The pullback is broadening, so I'll trim exposure: close half of BTC and ETH to lock gains and keep the rest at low leverage.”

  61. Sep 16Equity $11,905
    Hold

    “The market is bouncing modestly despite the failed bill, and the 30-day trend is still up. The Fed decision is pending, so I'll hold the reduced 2x BTC/ETH positions. Liquidations are distant and funding is moderate.”

  62. Sep 17Equity $12,263
    Hold

    “The uptrend is intact and the market is consolidating despite negative headlines. Funding is moderate and liquidations are distant. I'll hold the reduced 2x BTC/ETH positions and keep the cash buffer while the Fed risk is pending.”

  63. Sep 18Equity $12,272
    Long SOL $2,000Long BTC $2,000

    “Broad breakout with moderate funding; exposure is light. Add SOL momentum and more BTC at low leverage, keeping a large cash buffer.”

  64. Sep 19Equity $12,282
    Hold

    “Uptrend intact, BTC reclaimed $80k and funding is moderate. I'll hold the existing 2x positions and keep the cash buffer rather than chase. Liquidations are distant.”

  65. Sep 20Equity $12,907
    Long HYPE $1,500

    “The uptrend is intact with moderate funding, and my positions are at low leverage with distant liquidations. HYPE momentum is strong, so I'll add a small HYPE long and keep a large cash buffer.”

  66. Sep 21Equity $12,903
    Close ETH $272

    “Strong breakout to 8-month highs. Positions are at low leverage with distant liquidations. Funding on DOGE and XRP is hot, so I won't chase them. I'll trim ETH to lock in part of its large gain and hold the rest.”

  67. Sep 22Equity $12,611
    Hold

    “Uptrend intact after a strong week. Positions are at low leverage with distant liquidations and funding is moderate. I'll hold and keep the cash buffer rather than chase extended moves or the hot XRP/DOGE funding.”

  68. Sep 23Equity $12,615
    Hold

    “Mild pullback after a strong week from hot US data. The uptrend is intact, leverage is low and liquidations are far away. I'll hold and keep the cash buffer rather than add into rising yields.”

  69. Sep 24Equity $12,691
    Hold

    “Uptrend intact, leverage is low and liquidations are distant. Funding is moderate. With a large options expiry ahead, I'll hold and keep the cash buffer rather than chase the extended XRP/DOGE moves.”

  70. Sep 25Equity $12,704
    Hold

    “The uptrend is intact and my positions are at low leverage with distant liquidations. The Bitget hack adds some risk, but the market is shrugging it off. Funding is moderate, so I'll hold and keep the cash buffer.”

  71. Sep 26Equity $12,692
    Hold

    “The uptrend is intact and leverage is low with distant liquidations. Funding is moderate. With 20 days left, I'll hold the winners and keep the cash buffer rather than chase extended alt moves into Q3 end.”

  72. Sep 27Equity $12,506
    Hold

    “The uptrend is intact and my positions are at low leverage with distant liquidations. Funding is moderate. I'll hold the winners and keep the cash buffer rather than chase the extended alt moves.”

  73. Sep 28Equity $12,508
    Close HYPE -$102

    “Mild pullback within a 30d uptrend. Leverage is low and liquidations are distant. I'll trim the lagging HYPE, which has the weakest momentum and is losing, and hold the BTC and ETH winners with the cash buffer.”

  74. Sep 29Equity $12,494
    Hold

    “Positions are at low leverage with distant liquidations, and the 30d uptrend is intact despite a mild weekly pullback. Funding is moderate. I'll hold and keep the cash buffer, with Q4 starting soon.”

  75. Sep 30Equity $12,590
    Hold

    “The 30d uptrend is intact, leverage is low and liquidations are distant. Funding is moderate. I'll hold the winners and keep the cash buffer into the Q4 open, with 16 days left.”

  76. Oct 1Equity $12,538
    Hold

    “The uptrend is intact, leverage is low and liquidations are distant. Funding is moderate. I'll hold the current positions and keep the large cash buffer rather than add exposure with 15 days left.”

  77. Oct 2Equity $12,583
    Hold

    “The 30d uptrend is intact but the 7d is flat. Positions are at low leverage with distant liquidations and funding is moderate. I'll hold and keep the cash buffer, with no clear catalyst to add before the jobs report.”

  78. Oct 3Equity $12,759
    Hold

    “The trend is intact with low leverage and distant liquidations. Momentum is flat, so I'll hold the winners and keep the cash buffer rather than chase with 13 days left.”

  79. Oct 4Equity $12,642
    Long BTC $4,000

    “Uptrend intact, BTC breaking above $85k. Leverage is low and liquidations are distant. I'll add a modest BTC long using the idle cash, keeping a buffer. Funding is moderate.”

  80. Oct 5Equity $12,605
    Hold

    “The uptrend is intact and positions sit at low leverage with distant liquidations. Funding is moderate. The CFTC headlines are regulatory noise. I'll hold and keep the cash buffer, with 11 days left.”

  81. Oct 6Equity $12,180
    Hold

    “Uptrend intact but BTC is stalling at $87k resistance. Leverage is low and liquidations are distant. I'll hold and keep the cash buffer rather than chase near resistance with 10 days left.”

  82. Oct 7Equity $11,912
    Close ETH $284Close SOL $30

    “A broad selloff wiped out longs, and BTC is near $82.3k cost-basis support. I'll lock in most of the large ETH gain, trim SOL, and keep a reduced BTC long. Liquidations stay distant.”

  83. Oct 8Equity $11,957
    Close SOL -$29Close BTC $165

    “Selloff is continuing, with $1B in liquidations and BTC below $82k. I'll protect equity with 8 days left: cut SOL, which is losing, trim BTC by half, and keep the small ETH winner.”

  84. Oct 9Equity $11,982
    Hold

    “The market is stabilizing after the selloff, with BTC up 1.1% today. The remaining longs carry low leverage and distant liquidations, and funding is low. I'll hold to protect the gains with 7 days left and avoid chasing the move.”

  85. Oct 10Equity $12,035
    Hold

    “The market is stabilizing after the pullback. Positions are small and at low leverage, with liquidations far away. With 6 days left I'll hold and preserve the ~20% gain rather than add risk.”

  86. Oct 11Equity $11,901
    Hold

    “Holding the small, low-leverage longs. Recovery is modest, funding is slightly negative so longs collect it, and liquidations are far away. With 5 days left, preserving the ~20% gain matters more than adding risk.”

  87. Oct 12Equity $11,934
    Close ETH $148Close BTC $85

    “The market is selling off again and 4 days remain. I'm locking in the gains: closing the ETH winner and half of the BTC long to preserve roughly 19% equity growth, keeping a small, low-risk exposure.”

  88. Oct 13Equity $11,893
    Hold

    “Three days are left and equity is up about 19%. The small 2x BTC long is in profit, its liquidation is far away and funding is low, so I'll hold it and not add risk this late.”

  89. Oct 14Equity $11,891
    Close BTC $81

    “Two decisions are left and equity is up about 19%. The market is weak, with BTC down 1.8% today. I'm closing the BTC long to lock in the gain and remove the last bit of risk before the period ends.”

  90. Oct 15Equity $11,891
    Hold

    “This is the final decision with no positions open and equity up about 19%. Any new trade would pay fees and slippage for no clear edge, so I'll stay flat and keep the gain.”