DeepSeek V4 Pro
#12Final equity
$3,723 ± $2,665
Return
-62.8%
vs BTC
-86.1%
ELO
1228
Sharpe
-1.26
Max drawdown
-67.8%
Liquidations
1.8
Trades per run
57.6
Days in cash
3%
Invalid actions
19.3%
Cost per run
$0.87
Time per decision
32.1 s
LLM trading performance
Average return across 5 runs, with the best and worst values reached, against holding BTC.
Trade log
Every daily decision of the model's median run, with its reasoning in its own words.
- Equity $10,005Long BTC $6,000Long ETH $6,000
“Bullish headlines on BTC reserve and ETH options; ETH/BTC show strongest momentum. Moderate leverage to limit funding cost.”
- Equity $10,151Hold
“(unusable reply: missing orders array)”
- Equity $10,358Long SOL $3,000
“SOL shows steady gains and low funding; use idle cash to add diversified long exposure while keeping BTC/ETH longs.”
- Equity $10,313Long XRP $3,000
“XRP shows low funding and positive 24h/7d momentum; use idle cash to diversify longs while overall market bullish. Keep existing positions.”
- Equity $9,867Hold
“Positions are modestly profitable and liquidation levels are far. Market is consolidating with no clear reversal signal; holding existing diversified longs is prudent.”
- Equity $9,717Close SOL -$79Close XRP -$97Short HYPE $3,000
“Cut losing SOL/XRP longs amid negative regulatory headlines; short weak HYPE with positive funding to profit from downtrend.”
- Equity $9,743Hold
“Negative headlines and higher yields warrant caution, but positions are small with far liquidations. HYPE short benefits from positive funding. Hold and wait for clearer trend.”
- Equity $10,137Long XRP $3,000Long SOL $3,000
“Idle cash and negative funding on XRP/SOL offer carry while market consolidates. Add small longs at 5x, hold existing positions.”
- Equity $9,735Hold
“Positions are mostly profitable with safe liquidations. HYPE short is against daily move but medium trend supports it; positive funding pays shorts. No clear reversal, so hold all.”
- Equity $9,864Close XRP -$90Close SOL -$17Short DOGE $3,000
“Cut losing XRP/SOL longs amid continued weakness; open DOGE short to capture negative trend and positive funding. Hold BTC/ETH longs and HYPE short.”
- Equity $9,930Hold
“(unusable reply: missing orders array)”
- Equity $9,653Close BTC -$86Short HYPE $3,000Short XRP $3,000Short SOL $3,000
“Close losing BTC long paying high funding. Add to strong HYPE short and open XRP/SOL shorts on negative trends; positive funding rewards shorts.”
- Equity $10,002Hold
“Positions are small relative to equity, liquidations distant. Shorts collect positive funding; ETH long still in profit. No clear reversal, hold for now.”
- Equity $10,044Hold
“Positions are mostly profitable with safe liquidations. Shorts collect positive funding; ETH long small loss but not urgent. No clear reversal, hold.”
- Equity $9,922Hold
“(unusable reply: missing orders array)”
- Equity $9,746Hold
“(unusable reply: missing orders array)”
- Equity $9,672Hold
“Positions are small relative to equity, liquidations distant. Shorts collect positive funding; ETH long small loss but not urgent. No clear reversal, hold.”
- Equity $9,522Short HYPE $3,000Short DOGE $3,000Short SOL $3,000Short XRP $3,000
“Altcoins show downtrends and positive funding; adding to existing shorts increases exposure with safe liquidations. ETH long held.”
- Equity $9,971Hold
“(unusable reply: missing orders array)”
- Equity $10,302Hold
“Positions mostly profitable; HYPE small loss but far from liquidation. No clear reversal signal in headlines or price action. Hold to let trends continue.”
- Equity $9,784Hold
“(unusable reply: missing orders array)”
- Equity $10,175Close SOL -$196Short HYPE $3,000
“SOL short is losing with bullish momentum; close to cut risk. HYPE remains in strong 30d downtrend with positive funding; add to short using freed cash.”
- Equity $9,899Short XRP $3,000Short DOGE $3,000
“Altcoin downtrends persist with positive funding; add to XRP and DOGE shorts. Hold ETH long and HYPE short.”
- Equity $9,686Hold
“(unusable reply: missing orders array)”
- Equity $9,393Close DOGE -$262Short HYPE $3,000
“DOGE short is losing and nearing liquidation; close to cut risk. HYPE has strong 30d downtrend and positive funding, so add short with freed cash.”
- Equity $8,998Hold
“(unusable reply: missing orders array)”
- Equity $9,138Close HYPE -$647Close ETH $66Short XRP $8,000
“HYPE short is losing and near liquidation; cut risk. ETH long has weak trend and positive funding drag. XRP has strong 30d downtrend and positive funding; add short with freed cash.”
- Equity $9,087Hold
“(unusable reply: missing orders array)”
- Equity $9,242Short DOGE $5,000
“XRP short profitable, hold. DOGE has negative 7d/30d trend and 10.9% positive funding, so open small short to diversify and earn funding.”
- Equity $8,942Short XRP $8,000
“XRP short is profitable with strong 30d downtrend and positive funding; add to position with free cash while holding DOGE short.”
- Equity $8,986Hold
“(unusable reply: missing orders array)”
- Equity $3,148HoldXRP liquidated
“(unusable reply: missing orders array)”
- Equity $3,238Close DOGE -$399Long ETH $3,000
“DOGE short is near liquidation and against momentum; close it. ETH shows strong momentum with moderate funding, so open a small long to recover.”
- Equity $3,627Long SOL $2,000
“Bullish momentum and positive regulatory headlines; hold profitable ETH long and diversify with a SOL long at moderate leverage.”
- Equity $3,414Long BTC $5,000
“Bullish regulatory news and strong momentum; add BTC long at moderate leverage using idle cash to increase exposure while ETH/SOL longs remain profitable.”
- Equity $3,544Hold
“Positions are profitable overall and liquidation levels are far; bullish momentum persists despite minor pullback. Hold to let winners run.”
- Equity $3,733Long ETH $2,000
“Bullish ETH headline and momentum; use idle cash to add small ETH long at moderate leverage, liquidation remains far. Hold existing winners.”
- Equity $3,553Hold
“Positions are profitable with liquidation levels far and bullish momentum persists. Free cash is minimal; holding winners is optimal.”
- Equity $3,849Hold
“Existing longs remain profitable with far liquidation levels across BTC, ETH, SOL. Momentum broadly intact despite minor pullback; free cash too small for meaningful addition. Hold winners.”
- Equity $4,091Hold
“All longs profitable with liquidation levels far and bullish momentum intact. Free cash too small for meaningful addition; holding winners is optimal.”
- Equity $3,675Hold
“All positions remain profitable with liquidation levels far; bullish momentum and supportive headlines persist. Free cash too small for meaningful addition; holding winners is optimal.”
- Equity $3,762Hold
“Positions remain safe with liquidation levels far. Market dip is modest and regulatory headlines are constructive. Free cash too small for meaningful action; holding winners is optimal.”
- Equity $3,415Close BTC -$15Long HYPE $4,000
“BTC is flat with high funding; HYPE has stronger momentum and negative funding. Rotate BTC exposure into a HYPE long, slightly smaller size for risk.”
- Equity $3,749Hold
“(unusable reply: missing orders array)”
- Equity $3,502Hold
“All longs profitable with safe liquidation levels. Free cash only $37.87, too small for meaningful adjustment. Bullish ETH/regulatory headlines support holding; avoid churn fees.”
- Equity $3,412Hold
“Positions are profitable overall and liquidation levels remain far. Free cash is too small for meaningful action. Despite today's dip, medium-term trends are positive; holding avoids fees and churn.”
- Equity $4,007Hold
“(unusable reply: missing orders array)”
- Equity $3,699Hold
“All long positions are profitable with safe liquidation levels and bullish momentum continues. Free cash too small for meaningful adjustment; holding avoids fees.”
- Equity $3,823Hold
“All longs profitable with safe liquidation levels; free cash $37.87 too small for meaningful action. Today's dip within uptrend; holding avoids fees and churn.”
- Equity $4,093Hold
“All longs profitable with safe liquidation levels; free cash only $37.87 too small for meaningful action. Bullish momentum intact, holding avoids fees and churn.”
- Equity $3,838Hold
“All longs remain profitable with safe liquidation levels and bullish momentum across ETH, SOL, HYPE. Free cash too small for meaningful action; holding avoids fees and churn.”
- Equity $3,813Hold
“All longs profitable and liquidations far; free cash too small for meaningful action. Today's dip likely within uptrend. Holding avoids fees and funding churn.”
- Equity $3,658Hold
“All longs remain profitable with safe liquidation levels; free cash too small for meaningful action. Mixed headlines and elevated ETH/HYPE funding favor holding to avoid fees and churn.”
- Equity $3,285Hold
“All longs remain profitable with adequate liquidation buffers; free cash is $38, too small for meaningful new positions. Today's minor dip fits the broader uptrend, so holding avoids fees and funding churn.”
- Equity $3,579Hold
“(unusable reply: missing orders array)”
- Equity $3,596Hold
“(unusable reply: missing orders array)”
- Equity $3,317Hold
“Positions remain within risk limits; free cash too small for meaningful action. ETH/SOL profitable, HYPE loss manageable. Holding avoids fees and funding churn amid mixed signals.”
- Equity $3,470Close HYPE -$297
“HYPE long is down 29.6% on margin, only 5% from liquidation, funding positive, and 7d downtrend. Closing avoids losing remaining margin and frees cash.”
- Equity $3,087Hold
“(unusable reply: missing orders array)”
- Equity $3,128Close SOL $207
“SOL profit +31% on margin; market bearish after Senate bill defeat. Lock gains, reduce risk while ETH still has room to liquidation.”
- Equity $3,188Hold
“(unusable reply: missing orders array)”
- Equity $3,543Hold
“(unusable reply: missing orders array)”
- Equity $3,574Long BTC $3,000Long SOL $2,000Long XRP $1,500
“Market strongly bullish across majors; add diversified longs with moderate 5x leverage using free cash while ETH long remains profitable.”
- Equity $3,622Long HYPE $1,400
“Bullish market; deploy idle cash into HYPE, which shows strong 7d/30d momentum. Small 5x long uses available free cash without overleveraging.”
- Equity $4,376Hold
“Bullish momentum persists across majors; positions are profitable and liquidation levels are far. No free cash to add, so hold existing longs.”
- Equity $4,388Hold
“Bullish momentum persists with strong 7d gains and supportive headlines; positions are profitable with distant liquidation levels. No free cash for new trades, so hold existing longs.”
- Equity $3,972Hold
“Bullish momentum persists across all holdings with strong 7d gains and supportive headlines; liquidation levels are far. Funding cost is manageable, and free cash is too low to add, so hold existing longs.”
- Equity $3,958Close ETH $747Close BTC $125Close SOL $39Close XRP $110Close HYPE $27
“Market drops across all assets on hot US data, high funding costs, and positive unrealized gains. Lock profits and reduce risk by closing all longs; wait for better re-entry.”
- Equity $4,083Long SOL $1,300Long XRP $1,300Long DOGE $1,300
“Markets rebounded with strong 7d momentum in SOL, XRP, DOGE; redeploy capital into 5x longs on momentum leaders after prior profit-taking. Uses ~$3.9k notional, leaving cash buffer.”
- Equity $4,007Hold
“Longs are profitable with strong momentum and liquidation levels far away. Hack headlines not causing market selloff. Holding existing winners to let profits run.”
- Equity $3,986Long SOL $1,200Long DOGE $1,200Long ETH $1,500Long HYPE $1,500
“Deploy idle free cash into momentum leaders and new longs to increase equity potential over remaining 20 days. Use 5x leverage for controlled risk and diversification.”
- Equity $3,731Long BTC $2,000
“Idle free cash deployed into BTC long; BTC shows steady 7d/30d gains and positive funding environment. Existing positions have safe liquidation distances.”
- Equity $3,700Hold
“(unusable reply: missing orders array)”
- Equity $3,696Close HYPE -$108
“HYPE is down 11.6% weekly and only 3% above liquidation; closing to prevent total margin loss. Other positions have more buffer; hold.”
- Equity $3,740Hold
“(unusable reply: missing orders array)”
- Equity $3,710Close XRP -$35Close DOGE -$52
“XRP and DOGE are losing, near liquidation, and show negative 7d momentum. Closing them preserves capital and reduces downside risk while keeping stronger BTC, ETH, and SOL positions.”
- Equity $3,746Hold
“Positions have sufficient liquidation buffers and 30d trends are positive. No clear weakness signals, so holding preserves capital and avoids excessive fees in volatile conditions.”
- Equity $3,807Close BTC $5
“BTC has smallest liquidation buffer (~5%), highest leverage 10x, and weakest 30d trend; closing locks small gain and reduces liquidation risk while keeping stronger ETH/SOL.”
- Equity $3,781Hold
“(unusable reply: missing orders array)”
- Equity $3,773Close ETH $6Long SOL $1,500
“ETH has weak 7d momentum and high funding; rotate to SOL which has stronger 30d trend and lower funding.”
- Equity $3,624Hold
“SOL long has strong 30d trend and adequate liquidation buffer. Hold to avoid fees and wait for clearer signals.”
- Equity $3,703Close SOL -$120Short DOGE $1,500
“SOL long is losing with negative momentum and high funding; close to stop loss. DOGE is weakest with negative 30d trend and high funding, short to benefit from downtrend.”
- Equity $3,681Hold
“(unusable reply: missing orders array)”
- Equity $3,675Hold
“(unusable reply: missing orders array)”
- Equity $3,657Hold
“(unusable reply: missing orders array)”
- Equity $3,735Hold
“DOGE short is profitable with positive funding benefiting shorts and weak 7d momentum. Hold to avoid fees and let the position work.”
- Equity $3,699Hold
“(unusable reply: missing orders array)”
- Equity $3,754Short HYPE $1,500
“DOGE short is profitable and HYPE shows weak 7d momentum with high funding; open HYPE short to collect funding and ride downtrend while holding DOGE.”
- Equity $3,751Hold
“DOGE and HYPE shorts are profitable and funding-positive for shorts. Market remains weak; avoid new fees with only two decisions left. Hold and let positions work.”
- Equity $3,781Hold
“Both shorts are safe from liquidation and holding avoids closing fees. Opening new positions would only add fees with no subsequent price move, so holding maximizes final equity.”