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  5. Moonshotai Kimi K3
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Moonshot

Kimi K3

#8
Moonshot· Open weights· Released Jul 16, 2026

Final equity

$10,268 ± $1,613

Return

+2.7%

vs BTC

-20.7%

ELO

1489

Sharpe

0.47

Max drawdown

-23.1%

Liquidations

0.2

Trades per run

46.2

Days in cash

6%

Invalid actions

0.2%

Cost per run

$0.71

Time per decision

9.7 s

LLM trading performance

Average return across 5 runs, with the best and worst values reached, against holding BTC.

Trade log

Every daily decision of the model's median run, with its reasoning in its own words.

  1. Jul 18Equity $9,912
    Long BTC $30,000

    “Bullish headlines (Strategic Bitcoin Reserve push, whale accumulation) plus positive BTC momentum across all timeframes. Opening leveraged BTC long; funding cost modest.”

  2. Jul 19Equity $10,298
    Long ETH $10,000

    “BTC long intact near breakeven; ETH showing strongest 30d momentum (+9.4%). Adding modest ETH long while keeping dry powder; funding costs manageable.”

  3. Jul 20Equity $11,029
    Hold

    “Both longs profitable with positive momentum across timeframes; BTC and ETH trends intact. Holding positions and keeping dry powder for better setups.”

  4. Jul 21Equity $10,836
    Hold

    “BTC and ETH longs remain profitable with positive multi-timeframe momentum and distant liquidations; funding is acceptable versus trend strength. Headlines are mixed but Clarity Act optimism supports majors. Holding winners and preserving limited free cash.”

  5. Jul 22Equity $10,059
    Hold

    “BTC and ETH longs remain profitable with positive 7d/30d momentum, liquidations far away, and funding costs acceptable. Headlines are neutral-to-mixed; no reason to cut winners. Free cash is limited, so holding rather than adding risk.”

  6. Jul 23Equity $9,521
    Hold

    “BTC/ETH longs still profitable with positive 7d/30d trends and distant liquidations. Today's dip is modest; headlines mixed but no trend break. Funding costs acceptable. Holding winners, preserving limited free cash.”

  7. Jul 24Equity $9,484
    Close BTC -$355Close ETH -$70

    “Both longs now underwater, 24h momentum negative, headlines turned bearish (crash talk, rising Treasury yields). Cutting losses to preserve capital rather than holding deteriorating positions with funding costs.”

  8. Jul 25Equity $9,845
    Long ETH $5,000Long SOL $4,000Long XRP $3,000

    “Re-entering selectively after broad green close: ETH strongest 30d, SOL/XRP steady with negative funding. Skipping BTC high funding and weak HYPE/DOGE. Moderate 3x diversified risk, cash buffer remains.”

  9. Jul 26Equity $9,408
    Hold

    “All three longs profitable with positive 24h/7d/30d momentum and distant liquidations. Funding costs modest. Headlines mixed but no trend break. Holding winners, preserving free cash buffer rather than adding risk.”

  10. Jul 27Equity $9,465
    Close XRP -$90

    “Broad red day with crash headlines; XRP weakest (-8.9% on margin, negative 24h/7d) so cutting it. ETH still profitable with strong 30d trend, SOL near breakeven—holding both with distant liquidations, preserving cash buffer.”

  11. Jul 28Equity $9,428
    Hold

    “ETH long profitable with strong 30d trend and Morgan Stanley ETP tailwind; SOL near breakeven with negative funding paying longs. Headlines mixed, no trend break. Holding both, preserving cash buffer.”

  12. Jul 29Equity $9,491
    Hold

    “Fed decision today creates uncertainty; markets flat. ETH still profitable with strong 30d trend, SOL near breakeven with negligible funding. Holding both with distant liquidations, keeping cash buffer until Fed clarity.”

  13. Jul 30Equity $9,252
    Hold

    “Fed held rates with no shock; ETH long profitable with strong 30d trend, SOL near breakeven. Funding costs modest, liquidations distant. Holding both, preserving cash buffer amid neutral headlines.”

  14. Jul 31Equity $9,201
    Close SOL -$93

    “Broad red day; SOL is weakest with negative 7d/30d momentum, -6.9% on margin, and high 8.5% funding against longs—cutting it. ETH retains strong +15.7% 30d trend with distant liquidation, so holding. Freeing cash buffer amid risk-off tone.”

  15. Aug 1Equity $9,309
    Hold

    “ETH down slightly but 30d trend still +8.4% and liquidation far away; funding cost modest. Market flat, no trend break, headlines neutral. Holding ETH and preserving cash buffer.”

  16. Aug 2Equity $9,240
    Hold

    “ETH long profitable, strong 30d trend (+7.1%), record ETF inflows and Morgan Stanley ETF launch are tailwinds; funding modest, liquidation distant. Other alts weak momentum. Holding ETH, preserving cash buffer.”

  17. Aug 3Equity $9,236
    Close ETH -$45

    “ETH momentum has deteriorated: negative 24h/7d, 30d trend fading, funding still costs longs, and headlines show risk-off pullback. Locking the small loss and going flat preserves capital for a clearer setup.”

  18. Aug 4Equity $9,196
    Short SOL $9,000

    “All assets show weak/fading momentum with positive funding that pays shorts. SOL has -9.6% 30d trend and highest funding (10.3%)—a modest short collects funding in a downtrend. Keeping size small for risk control.”

  19. Aug 5Equity $9,356
    Hold

    “SOL short thesis intact: 30d trend still -9.7%, funding 9.8% pays shorts, liquidation far at 85.99. Small -1.3% move is noise within downtrend. Other assets mixed/conflicting; preserving cash buffer. Holding.”

  20. Aug 6Equity $9,243
    Hold

    “SOL short is profitable and thesis intact: 30d trend -9.7%, weakest of majors, funding still pays shorts, liquidation far at 85.99. Headlines mixed (Russia law bullish, US bill stalled bearish)—no reason to change. Holding.”

  21. Aug 7Equity $8,956
    Hold

    “SOL short remains valid: 30d trend -5.4%, funding 7.9% pays shorts, liquidation far at 86.0. Price near flat is noise. Headlines lean bearish (Senate setback, Brazil crackdown). Holding.”

  22. Aug 8Equity $8,947
    Close SOL -$288

    “SOL short thesis broken: 24h +3.2%, 7d +5.7%, 30d trend faded to -2.6%, position down 9.5% with liquidation only 13% away. Momentum flipped bullish; cutting the loss rather than risking liquidation.”

  23. Aug 9Equity $9,082
    Short XRP $8,000

    “After cutting the SOL loss, market remains soft: BTC below 65k, hack rattling holders, 100+ projects folded. XRP is weakest (-5.2% 7d, -6.8% 30d) with 10.9% funding paying shorts. Modest short with wide liquidation buffer.”

  24. Aug 10Equity $8,998
    Hold

    “XRP short working: +5.1% on margin, weakest asset (-5.9% 7d, -7.7% 30d), 10.9% funding pays shorts, liquidation far at 1.201. Headlines bearish (bill stalled, regulatory pushback). Holding.”

  25. Aug 11Equity $9,134
    Hold

    “XRP short thesis intact: weakest major (-4.7% 7d, -5.8% 30d), Russia explicitly excludes XRP (bearish catalyst), 8.8% funding pays shorts, liquidation far at 1.201. The +1.1% bounce is noise within a downtrend. Holding; avoiding new correlated shorts.”

  26. Aug 12Equity $9,109
    Hold

    “XRP short still working: +6.9% on margin, weakest asset (-5.3% 7d, -5.7% 30d), 10.9% funding pays shorts, Russia excludes XRP, liquidation far at 1.2016. Holding; no new correlated shorts.”

  27. Aug 13Equity $9,189
    Hold

    “XRP short still working: +5.9% on margin, weakest major (-2.5% 7d, -9.2% 30d), 10.9% funding pays shorts, liquidation far at 1.202. Downtrend intact despite flat day. Holding; no new correlated shorts in a stagnant market.”

  28. Aug 14Equity $9,165
    Hold

    “XRP short working: +8.8% on margin, weakest asset (-10.2% 30d), 9.9% funding pays shorts, liquidation far at 1.202. Headlines mildly bullish but price action stays soft. Holding; no new correlated shorts.”

  29. Aug 15Equity $9,238
    Hold

    “XRP short still profitable: +7.8% on margin, weakest asset (-7.8% 30d), 5.9% funding pays shorts, liquidation far at 1.2023. Downtrend intact; Trump-bank headlines not moving prices. Holding; no new correlated shorts.”

  30. Aug 16Equity $9,164
    Hold

    “XRP short still profitable: +10.6% on margin, weakest asset (-3.6% 7d, -8.8% 30d), funding pays shorts, liquidation far at 1.2024. Downtrend intact; macro headwinds (high bond yields) persist. Holding; no new correlated shorts.”

  31. Aug 17Equity $9,174
    Hold

    “XRP short still profitable (+7.8% on margin), weakest asset over 30d (-8.2%), funding still pays shorts, liquidation far at 1.2025. Broad market bounced today but XRP lagged (+1.0%). Holding; no new correlated shorts.”

  32. Aug 18Equity $8,363
    Hold

    “XRP short still profitable (+8.1% on margin), weakest asset over 30d (-8.7%), positive funding pays shorts, liquidation far at 1.2025. Downtrend intact; holding. No new correlated shorts in a flat market.”

  33. Aug 19Equity $8,831
    Close XRP -$601Long ETH $15,000

    “Short thesis broken: broad market pumping 7-19% on bullish regulatory news, XRP +10.5% with liquidation only 8.7% away. Cut the -22% loss. Rotate long ETH: strong momentum (+17.6% 24h, +19.9% 7d) with cheap 5% funding, unlike crowded HYPE.”

  34. Aug 20Equity $10,815
    Long ETH $9,000

    “Broad rally continues on bullish regulatory/treasury headlines; ETH long working (+9.8% on margin), funding moderate. Adding to ETH long with free cash to ride momentum; liquidation far below at 1879.”

  35. Aug 21Equity $9,806
    Hold

    “ETH long +31% on margin, liquidation far at 1903, momentum strong (+33.9% 7d) on bullish regulatory news. Funding 12.7% is tolerable. Free cash too small to add meaningfully; holding and letting the winner run.”

  36. Aug 22Equity $10,230
    Hold

    “ETH long +18.6% on margin, liquidation far at 1903. Today's dip (-3.8%) is normal pullback in strong uptrend (+28.7% 7d) with bullish ETF inflow news. Funding 14.8% tolerable. Free cash too small to add. Holding.”

  37. Aug 23Equity $10,410
    Hold

    “ETH long +24% on margin, liquidation far at 1904, uptrend intact (+31% 7d) with bullish Bessent debasement and miner ETH-bullish headlines. Funding 11.2% tolerable. Free cash too small to add meaningfully after fees. Holding.”

  38. Aug 24Equity $9,976
    Hold

    “ETH long +26.3% on margin, liquidation far at 1905, uptrend intact (+29.8% 7d) with bullish BTC $80k debasement headlines. Funding 11.3% tolerable. Free cash $343 too small to add after fees. Letting the winner run.”

  39. Aug 25Equity $10,647
    Hold

    “ETH long +21% on margin, liquidation far at 1906, uptrend intact (+27.4% 7d). Funding dropped to 7.5%, cheap to hold. Today's dip is a normal pullback in a strong rally. Free cash too small to add. Holding.”

  40. Aug 26Equity $10,685
    Hold

    “ETH long +29.4% on margin, liquidation far at 1907, uptrend intact (+11.2% 7d, +32.5% 30d) with bullish regulatory momentum. Funding 9.6% tolerable. Free cash $343 too small to add after fees. Letting the winner run.”

  41. Aug 27Equity $9,964
    Hold

    “ETH long +30% on margin, liquidation far at 1907, uptrend intact (+7.8% 7d, +30.6% 30d) with bullish institutional headlines. Funding dropped to 7.5%, cheap to hold. Free cash too small to add after fees. Letting the winner run.”

  42. Aug 28Equity $10,114
    Hold

    “ETH long +21% on margin, liquidation far at 1908, 30d uptrend intact (+27.9%) with bullish Tom Lee $6K target and SEC exemption headlines. 7d slight pullback but holding above entry comfortably. Funding 10.9% tolerable. Free cash too small to add. Holding.”

  43. Aug 29Equity $9,688
    Hold

    “ETH long +23% on margin, liquidation far at 1908, 30d uptrend intact (+28.1%) with bullish Tom Lee/Bitmine accumulation headlines. 7d consolidation after big rally, holding well above entry. Funding 10.9% tolerable. Free cash $343 too small to add after fees. Holding.”

  44. Aug 30Equity $10,211
    Hold

    “ETH long +17.8% on margin, liquidation far at 1909, 30d uptrend intact (+29.9%) with bullish institutional headlines. 7d mild pullback after big rally, still well above entry. Funding 10.9% tolerable. Free cash too small to add. Holding.”

  45. Aug 31Equity $9,687
    Hold

    “ETH long +24.5% on margin, liquidation 22.6% below mark at 1910, 30d uptrend intact (+33.8%) with bullish SEC clarity and Tom Lee headlines. 7d flat consolidation, funding 10.9% tolerable. Free cash $343 too small to add after fees. Holding the winner.”

  46. Sep 1Equity $9,527
    Close ETH $713

    “After +28% 30d, funding is crowded and headlines turned risk-off; taking half profit cuts effective leverage while keeping core ETH upside and freeing cash for better entries.”

  47. Sep 2Equity $10,136
    Hold

    “ETH long still +14.4% on margin with liquidation 20% below at 1911. 30d uptrend intact (+28.6%) despite mild pullback and bearish Bart pattern chatter. Already trimmed half yesterday; keeping core position, holding free cash for better entries.”

  48. Sep 3Equity $9,655
    Long ETH $9,000

    “ETH momentum strong (+4.9% day, +34% 30d), bullish institutional headlines, existing long +29.7% with liquidation far below. Adding $9,000 notional at 3x uses $3,000 margin, keeping $2,000 buffer. Funding 10.9% tolerable.”

  49. Sep 4Equity $9,865
    Hold

    “ETH long +10.3% on margin after 2% pullback; 30d uptrend +28.7% intact, BTC tops $80k headlines bullish. Liquidation 19% below at 1985. Funding 10.9% tolerable. Free cash $2k too small to add meaningfully. Holding.”

  50. Sep 5Equity $10,170
    Hold

    “ETH long healthy (+13.4% margin, liq 20% below), 30d uptrend intact. DOGE showing strongest momentum (+5.8% day, +5.2% week) — deploying idle cash into a $6,000 DOGE long at 3x for diversification.”

    Rejected: DOGE: needs $2002.70 margin, $1999.11 free

  51. Sep 6Equity $9,898
    Long DOGE $5,800

    “Retrying yesterday's rejected DOGE order at slightly smaller size. DOGE momentum strong (+10.9% week), ETH long healthy with liquidation far below. Deploying idle cash into $5,800 DOGE long at 3x, keeping small buffer for fees.”

  52. Sep 7Equity $9,818
    Hold

    “Broad mild pullback (-1% to -3%) within strong 30d uptrends (+22% to +55%); hack headline is sentiment noise. ETH +14.5% with liquidation 20% below, DOGE has best weekly momentum. Free cash $63 too small to deploy. Holding both.”

  53. Sep 8Equity $9,411
    Hold

    “Both positions healthy: ETH +13.9% with liquidation 20% below, DOGE only -3.1% amid strongest weekly momentum (+10.3%). 30d uptrends intact, mild pullback is noise. Free cash $63 too small to deploy. Holding.”

  54. Sep 9Equity $8,929
    Hold

    “ETH +11.8% with liquidation 19% below; DOGE -16% but still 12% above liquidation with best weekly momentum (+5.4%). 30d uptrends intact across market, headlines are noise. Free cash $63 unusable. Holding both.”

  55. Sep 10Equity $9,611
    Close DOGE -$524

    “DOGE long is -27% on margin, only 8% above liquidation, weakest weekly momentum and paying 10.9% funding — cutting it to salvage margin. ETH stays healthy with liquidation 18% below and strong 30d trend. Holding ETH.”

  56. Sep 11Equity $9,663
    Long SOL $4,200

    “ETH long healthy (+17.8%), liquidation 21% below, strong momentum with bullish ETH headline. Deploying idle cash into SOL long: best 24h mover (+3.9%), strong 30d trend (+35.5%), lowest funding (4.2%).”

  57. Sep 12Equity $9,117
    Hold

    “ETH +19.1% with liquidation 21% below, strong 30d trend intact; SOL only -2.2%, small position, giving it room. Free cash $61 too small to deploy. Headlines are noise. Holding both.”

  58. Sep 13Equity $9,589
    Hold

    “ETH +12.9% with liquidation 20% below, strong 30d trend intact. SOL -9.5% but liquidation still 14% away, small position, giving it room. Free cash $61 unusable. Short-term pullback is noise. Holding both.”

  59. Sep 14Equity $8,310
    Hold

    “ETH +17.8% with liquidation 21% below, strong 30d trend; SOL recovered to breakeven with liquidation 17% away. Free cash $61 unusable. Rate-hike headlines are noise; momentum intact. Holding both.”

  60. Sep 15Equity $8,287
    Close ETH $191Close SOL -$233

    “CLARITY Act collapse is a genuine bearish catalyst, not noise: 7d momentum negative across all assets, ETH gains evaporated to +2.9%, SOL only 11.7% from liquidation, and positive funding bleeds longs. Going flat to preserve capital and reassess.”

  61. Sep 16Equity $8,287
    Hold

    “Bearish headlines persist but market bounced today (+1-2% across board) after the crash, suggesting selloff exhaustion. Fed decision looms—high uncertainty. Positive funding bleeds longs but shorting into a bounce is risky. Staying flat, preserving capital.”

  62. Sep 17Equity $9,755
    Long ETH $9,000Long SOL $8,000

    “Bounce confirmed: ETH/SOL positive 24h and 7d, 30d uptrends intact, selloff exhaustion after CLARITY crash. Re-entering longs with moderate leverage, avoiding HYPE due to 15.8% funding bleed.”

  63. Sep 18Equity $9,718
    Long BTC $8,000

    “Trend re-accelerating: all assets +6-11% 24h, 30d uptrends intact, ETH/SOL winners running with wide liquidation buffers. Deploying idle cash into BTC momentum at moderate leverage, keeping reserve for fees/funding.”

  64. Sep 19Equity $9,762
    Hold

    “All three longs profitable with wide liquidation buffers; BTC broke $80k with bullish headlines and quarter-end momentum. Funding ~11% is a cost but trend is strong. Holding winners; keeping $2k cash reserve for fees/funding.”

  65. Sep 20Equity $11,400
    Long HYPE $7,000

    “Existing longs profitable with wide buffers; market consolidating after breakout. HYPE shows strongest momentum (+21% 7d, +24% 30d) with same funding as others. Deploying most idle cash into HYPE momentum, keeping small reserve.”

  66. Sep 21Equity $11,472
    Hold

    “All longs profitable with wide liquidation buffers; BTC at 8-month highs with bullish headlines (Saylor buying, winter-over debate). Trends strong across 7d/30d. Funding is a drag but momentum outweighs. Holding winners; HYPE lagging but keeping for now.”

  67. Sep 22Equity $10,494
    Hold

    “All four longs profitable with wide liquidation buffers; BTC at highs with bullish headlines and strong 7d/30d trends across the board. Funding drag (~11-13%) is manageable. Free cash too low to deploy. Holding winners.”

  68. Sep 23Equity $10,649
    Close HYPE $19

    “Pullback day on hot US data/rising yields; funding is a persistent drag. HYPE is flat and weakest conviction—closing it locks margin, cuts funding cost, and builds cash buffer. Keeping ETH/SOL/BTC winners with wide liquidation cushions as 7d/30d uptrends remain intact.”

  69. Sep 24Equity $11,029
    Hold

    “ETH/SOL/BTC longs all profitable with wide liquidation buffers; 7d/30d uptrends intact, BTC at highs with bullish headlines. Funding drag manageable. Closing HYPE yesterday was timely (-2.1% today). Holding winners; free cash reserved for funding/fees.”

  70. Sep 25Equity $11,015
    Hold

    “All three longs profitable with wide liquidation buffers; 7d/30d uptrends intact and SOL momentum strong (+4.4% today). Hack headlines are exchange-specific, market shrugging them off. Funding drag manageable. Holding winners, keeping cash reserve.”

  71. Sep 26Equity $11,022
    Hold

    “All three longs profitable with wide liquidation buffers; 7d/30d uptrends intact, BTC steady above $84k as Q3 rally continues. Funding drag manageable. Holding winners, keeping cash reserve for fees/funding.”

  72. Sep 27Equity $10,678
    Hold

    “All three longs profitable with wide liquidation buffers; 7d/30d uptrends intact, SOL momentum strongest (+17% 30d). Funding drag manageable. Keeping free cash as buffer since funding erodes position margin. Holding winners.”

  73. Sep 28Equity $10,681
    Close ETH $442

    “7d momentum flipped negative with a risk-off Trump/Iran headline and broad red close; 30d uptrend intact. ETH has the highest funding drag and stalled today—closing half locks profit, cuts carry, keeps SOL/BTC core longs with wide cushions.”

  74. Sep 29Equity $10,611
    Hold

    “All three longs profitable with wide liquidation buffers; 30d uptrends intact, BTC bullish headlines ($100k talk, rare September gain). 7d slightly soft but no breakdown. Funding drag manageable. Holding winners, keeping cash reserve.”

  75. Sep 30Equity $10,788
    Hold

    “All three longs profitable with wide liquidation buffers; 30d uptrends intact, month-end holding gains. Bull score 90 is a caution flag but no breakdown yet. Funding drag manageable. Holding winners, keeping cash reserve.”

  76. Oct 1Equity $10,692
    Hold

    “30d uptrends intact with wide liquidation buffers; funding drag negligible. Headlines turned negative (bill stuck, Trump backlash) and 7d momentum flat, so no adding; no breakdown to justify trimming winners. Holding core longs, keeping cash reserve.”

  77. Oct 2Equity $10,788
    Close ETH $404

    “Headlines turned risk-off (Bitget $388M hack, Blast shutdown, bank lawsuits) with 7d momentum negative across majors. ETH weakest (-0.8% 7d, highest funding drag)—closing it locks +$400 profit and cuts carry. Keeping BTC/SOL core longs with wide buffers.”

  78. Oct 3Equity $11,117
    Hold

    “BTC/SOL longs profitable with wide liquidation buffers and intact 30d uptrends; headlines bullish (SEC clears leveraged ETPs, $113k target talk). 7d momentum flat but no breakdown. Funding drag low on SOL/BTC. Holding winners, keeping cash reserve.”

  79. Oct 4Equity $10,977
    Hold

    “BTC/SOL longs profitable with wide liquidation buffers, 30d uptrends intact, and bullish headlines (BTC above $85k, leveraged-crypto move). Funding drag modest. Holding winners, keeping cash reserve for remaining 12 decisions.”

  80. Oct 5Equity $10,944
    Hold

    “BTC/SOL longs remain profitable with wide liquidation buffers and intact 30d uptrends; headlines neutral-to-bullish (CFTC oversight rules, BTC above $86k as rate fears fade). Funding drag modest. Holding winners, keeping cash reserve for final stretch.”

  81. Oct 6Equity $10,539
    Close SOL $747

    “BTC rejected at $87k third time, $400M longs wiped, headlines risk-off, 24h momentum negative with 10.9% funding drag. SOL most extended (+13% 30d, +75% on margin)—locking half the gain. Holding BTC core with wide buffer, keeping cash.”

  82. Oct 7Equity $10,246
    Close SOL $286

    “Risk-off persists: $500M longs wiped, all assets red 24h, BTC testing $82.3k support. SOL still +57% on margin and extended (+12% 30d)—locking another half. BTC holds above support with wide buffer; keeping core long and cash for final days.”

  83. Oct 8Equity $10,328
    Close SOL $154

    “BTC broke $81k support with $1B liquidations, all assets red, risk-off accelerating. SOL still +31% on margin but 7d momentum -7.4%—locking remaining gains. BTC barely profitable but wide liquidation buffer (71k); holding core long, preserving cash for final days.”

  84. Oct 9Equity $10,364
    Hold

    “BTC reclaimed $82.5k after the flush, +8% on margin with wide liquidation buffer (71k). Headlines neutral, funding modest at 4.6%. With 7 decisions left, holding core long and cash reserve—no edge in chasing alts with negative 7d momentum.”

  85. Oct 10Equity $10,442
    Hold

    “BTC holding above $82.9k, +9.8% on margin, low funding (2.3%), positive 30d trend. Alts show negative 7d momentum with high funding—no edge there. Keeping core long and cash reserve for final stretch.”

  86. Oct 11Equity $10,106
    Long BTC $6,000

    “BTC recovered to $83.7k with negative funding (shorts pay longs), positive 24h and 30d trend, headlines neutral. Adding to BTC long with 5 decisions left; alts have negative 7d momentum and high funding costs.”

  87. Oct 12Equity $10,026
    Close BTC -$63Short HYPE $8,000

    “Broad risk-off: all assets red 24h and 7d, BTC broke below entry. Closing BTC long at small loss before liquidation risk grows. Shorting HYPE—worst 7d momentum (-14%) and positive funding pays shorts—with modest size, 4 decisions left.”

  88. Oct 13Equity $10,101
    Hold

    “HYPE short only -3.3% with wide liquidation buffer (90.98); positive 10.4% funding pays shorts, 7d momentum still -11.3%. Broad 24h bounce makes adding shorts risky—holding position and cash for final two decisions.”

  89. Oct 14Equity $10,014
    Hold

    “Risk-off persists (all red 24h/7d) and positive funding pays shorts; HYPE 7d momentum still -8.7% with liquidation far at 91.01. Only +0.3% though, so no adding—holding modest short and cash into final decision.”

  90. Oct 15Equity $10,157
    Hold

    “Final decision: holding HYPE short. Liquidation far at 91.03, positive 8.6% funding pays shorts, and closing now locks in the loss plus ~$8 fees. One day of downside risk is bounded; funding and possible mean reversion favor holding.”