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Cryptos in 2026

Discover Our Complete Annual Report

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  5. X Ai Grok 4.7
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xAI

Grok 4.7

#5
xAI· Released Sep 21, 2026

Final equity

$11,037 ± $1,647

Return

+10.4%

vs BTC

-13.0%

ELO

1548

Sharpe

0.80

Max drawdown

-9.8%

Liquidations

0

Trades per run

38.6

Days in cash

3%

Invalid actions

0.0%

Cost per run

$0.64

Time per decision

13 s

LLM trading performance

Average return across 5 runs, with the best and worst values reached, against holding BTC.

Trade log

Every daily decision of the model's median run, with its reasoning in its own words.

  1. Jul 18Equity $10,006
    Long ETH $4,000Long BTC $3,000

    “ETH leads on 7d/30d momentum; BTC has reserve and whale headlines with steady gains. Modest 3x longs, funding not punitive.”

  2. Jul 19Equity $10,096
    Hold

    “Momentum is fading and funding is a mild drag, but ETH still leads and both 3x longs have wide liquidation buffers. Avoid churn; hold.”

  3. Jul 20Equity $10,240
    Long SOL $2,500Long ETH $2,000

    “ETH and BTC trends intact with mild funding and wide buffers. Idle cash is a drag, so add modest 3x SOL and ETH longs to the leaders.”

  4. Jul 21Equity $10,217
    Long XRP $3,000

    “Majors still trend up with wide liquidation buffers and mild funding. Add a small XRP long: best 24h/7d momentum and cheapest funding. Keep ETH, BTC, SOL.”

  5. Jul 22Equity $9,833
    Hold

    “Majors still lead on 30d with wide liquidation buffers and mild funding. Tape is losing steam, so avoid churn and new risk; hold.”

  6. Jul 23Equity $9,669
    Close XRP -$97

    “Risk-off headlines and a broad red tape. XRP’s 30d trend is broken and it is the deepest drawdown, so cut it. Keep BTC, ETH, and SOL: leaders still have 30d momentum and wide buffers.”

  7. Jul 24Equity $9,719
    Close SOL -$128

    “Risk-off tape and higher yields. SOL 7d trend is broken and it is the deepest drawdown, so cut it. Keep BTC and ETH: 30d leaders with wide buffers.”

  8. Jul 25Equity $10,142
    Long ETH $3,000

    “ETH is the 30d leader with a positive 7d tape and cheap funding. BTC buffer stays wide. Put a slice of idle cash into ETH at 3x; skip lagging alts to avoid churn.”

  9. Jul 26Equity $9,764
    Hold

    “ETH and BTC still lead on 30d with wide liquidation buffers and mild funding. Fed event risk argues against adding size or churning winners, so hold.”

  10. Jul 27Equity $9,913
    Hold

    “Broad red tape and crash headlines. ETH still leads on 30d with a wide buffer; BTC drawdown is modest. Avoid churn and new risk; hold.”

  11. Jul 28Equity $9,833
    Close BTC -$46Long ETH $3,000

    “Close BTC: underwater, costly funding, crash headlines. Add to ETH, the 30d leader, on the Morgan Stanley ETP catalyst and cheap funding.”

  12. Jul 29Equity $9,880
    Hold

    “Fed decision risk argues against adding size. ETH remains the 30d leader, funding is cheap, and the liquidation buffer is wide, so hold.”

  13. Jul 30Equity $9,432
    Long BTC $3,000

    “Fed hold removes the event overhang. ETH stays the 30d leader with cheap funding and a wide buffer. Add a small BTC long as the second trend, not more ETH concentration.”

  14. Jul 31Equity $9,314
    Hold

    “ETH remains the 30d leader with a wide liquidation buffer and cheap funding. BTC drawdown is contained. No fresh catalyst; avoid churn and new risk.”

  15. Aug 1Equity $9,568
    Close BTC -$94

    “7d tape is soft and BTC is the weaker underwater leg. Close it to cut drag. Keep ETH, the 30d leader, with cheap funding and a wide buffer.”

  16. Aug 2Equity $9,406
    Hold

    “ETH stays the 30d leader with cheap funding and a wide liquidation buffer. Mixed headlines and a still-soft 7d tape argue against adding risk or churn.”

  17. Aug 3Equity $9,467
    Hold

    “ETH remains the 30d leader with cheap funding and a wide liquidation buffer. Soft tape and mixed headlines argue against adding risk or paying churn.”

  18. Aug 4Equity $9,710
    Hold

    “ETH remains the 30d leader with cheap funding and a wide liquidation buffer. Soft 7d tape and non-catalytic headlines argue against adding risk or paying churn.”

  19. Aug 5Equity $9,674
    Hold

    “ETH is still the 30d leader, in profit, with a wide liquidation buffer. Event risk and mixed headlines argue against adding size or paying churn.”

  20. Aug 6Equity $9,739
    Hold

    “ETH remains the 30d leader, slightly in profit, with a wide liquidation buffer. Soft tape, higher funding, and non-catalytic headlines argue against adding risk or paying churn.”

  21. Aug 7Equity $9,754
    Hold

    “ETH remains the 30d leader, in profit, with negative funding and a wide liquidation buffer. Mixed regulatory headlines argue against adding size or paying churn.”

  22. Aug 8Equity $9,712
    Hold

    “ETH remains the 30d leader, in profit, with a wide liquidation buffer. Funding is modest and mixed regulatory headlines argue against adding size or paying churn.”

  23. Aug 9Equity $9,472
    Hold

    “ETH remains the 30d leader, in profit, with a wide liquidation buffer. Soft tape, elevated funding, and mixed headlines argue against adding risk or paying churn.”

  24. Aug 10Equity $9,530
    Hold

    “ETH remains the 30d leader with a wide liquidation buffer. Soft tape and mixed headlines do not justify churn or added risk.”

  25. Aug 11Equity $9,511
    Hold

    “ETH still leads on 30d with a wide liquidation buffer. Soft tape, positive funding, and non-catalytic headlines do not justify churn or new risk.”

  26. Aug 12Equity $9,545
    Hold

    “ETH still leads on 30d with a wide liquidation buffer. Soft tape, positive funding, and a pending CPI print do not justify churn or new risk.”

  27. Aug 13Equity $9,459
    Close ETH -$22Long SOL $6,000

    “ETH 30d lead and profit thesis are gone; tape is soft and funding is a drag. Rotate into SOL, the only clear 7d relative-strength trend, at modest size.”

  28. Aug 14Equity $9,454
    Hold

    “SOL still leads majors on 7d relative strength, with the lowest funding and a wide liquidation buffer. One soft day and mixed headlines do not justify churn or new risk.”

  29. Aug 15Equity $9,395
    Hold

    “SOL loss is small and liquidation is far. Tape is choppy, HYPE's 7d bounce has expensive funding and a weak 30d, so churn is not justified.”

  30. Aug 16Equity $9,389
    Close SOL -$136

    “SOL 7d relative-strength thesis is broken; tape is soft and longs pay funding. Loss is small and liquidation is distant, so flatten and wait for a clearer setup.”

  31. Aug 17Equity $9,398
    Long BTC $4,000

    “Broad bounce, BTC leads majors with zero funding. Modest long avoids alt funding drag and fraud-headline risk.”

  32. Aug 18Equity $9,684
    Hold

    “BTC long still works: mild uptrend, negative funding pays us, liquidation far. Regulatory limbo and flat 30d do not justify adding size or paying fees to rotate.”

  33. Aug 19Equity $9,911
    Hold

    “BTC trend intact, funding cheap, liquidation far. Regulatory bid supports holding; chasing today's vertical alt rip risks giveback and fees.”

  34. Aug 20Equity $10,243
    Hold

    “BTC trend and constructive headlines still support the 2x long; liquidation is far. Funding is only mildly positive, so no trim or alt chase after the vertical rip.”

  35. Aug 21Equity $10,164
    Hold

    “BTC 2x long still aligned with the regulatory bid and cheap funding; liquidation is far. No trim or alt chase after the vertical rip.”

  36. Aug 22Equity $10,203
    Hold

    “Mild BTC pullback after the squeeze; ETF inflows and the uptrend still support the 2x long. Funding is moderate and liquidation is far, so no trim or high-funding alt chase.”

  37. Aug 23Equity $10,317
    Long BTC $3,000

    “Debasement bid and BTC uptrend intact; funding modest and liquidation far. Add modest 2x long rather than chase extended high-funding alts.”

  38. Aug 24Equity $10,264
    Hold

    “BTC uptrend and debasement bid intact; funding moderate and liquidation far. Hold the 2x long rather than chase extended alts after the squeeze.”

  39. Aug 25Equity $10,296
    Close BTC $293

    “Rally pause after a 21% weekly rip and a red day; funding still cheap and liquidation far. Trim a third of the BTC long to lock gains, keep core trend exposure.”

  40. Aug 26Equity $10,374
    Hold

    “BTC uptrend and regulatory bid intact; funding cheap and liquidation far. Hold the 2x core rather than chase extended alts.”

  41. Aug 27Equity $10,212
    Hold

    “BTC uptrend and institutional bid intact; funding cheap and liquidation far. Hold the 2x core rather than chase extended high-beta alts.”

  42. Aug 28Equity $10,245
    Long BTC $2,000

    “BTC 30d uptrend and regulatory bid intact after a 3% dip; funding cheap and liquidation far. Add a small 2x long rather than chase weaker alts.”

  43. Aug 29Equity $10,190
    Hold

    “BTC 30d uptrend intact, funding moderate, liquidation far below. Hawkish headlines are noise; do not chase extended alts or add after yesterday.”

  44. Aug 30Equity $10,273
    Hold

    “BTC 30d uptrend intact after a mild pullback; funding moderate and liquidation far. Hold the 2x core rather than chase weaker alts.”

  45. Aug 31Equity $10,163
    Hold

    “BTC 30d uptrend intact, funding moderate, liquidation far. Rate and hack headlines argue against adding; do not chase extended alts.”

  46. Sep 1Equity $10,152
    Hold

    “BTC 30d uptrend intact after a mild dip; funding moderate and liquidation far. Inflation and policy headlines argue against adding. Hold the 2x core.”

  47. Sep 2Equity $10,515
    Hold

    “BTC 30d uptrend intact after a flat day; funding moderate and liquidation far. Bearish pattern and pullback headlines argue against adding. Hold the 2x core.”

  48. Sep 3Equity $10,362
    Hold

    “BTC 30d uptrend intact after a strong day; funding moderate and liquidation far. Do not chase the spike or extended alts. Hold the 2x core.”

  49. Sep 4Equity $10,377
    Hold

    “BTC rejected $80k but 30d uptrend intact; funding moderate and liquidation far. Macro pressure argues against adding. Hold the 2x core.”

  50. Sep 5Equity $10,423
    Hold

    “BTC 30d uptrend intact near 80k; funding moderate and liquidation far. Do not chase the spike or extended alts. Hold the 2x core.”

  51. Sep 6Equity $10,344
    Close BTC $272

    “Liquid hack is a fresh risk-off shock after a strong 30d run. Trim BTC to lock gains; keep a smaller 2x core with liquidation far.”

  52. Sep 7Equity $10,304
    Hold

    “Hack, rate watch and waking whales keep risk-off bias after a red day. 30d BTC trend and far liquidation still support the small 2x core. Hold.”

  53. Sep 8Equity $10,295
    Hold

    “US-Iran fighting keeps risk-off bias while BTC is only a mild pullback. 30d trend, cheap funding, and far liquidation still support the small 2x core. Hold.”

  54. Sep 9Equity $10,098
    Long SOL $3,000

    “Quiet headlines and a mild dip inside intact 30d uptrends. BTC 2x core stays; add SOL long for negative funding and relative strength without crowding liquidation.”

  55. Sep 10Equity $10,249
    Hold

    “Broad dip inside intact 30d uptrends. BTC core profitable with far liquidation; SOL still paid by negative funding and not near liq. Avoid churn.”

  56. Sep 11Equity $10,232
    Hold

    “30d uptrends intact, funding cheap, and liquidations far. ETH spike already faded below 2600; political overhang argues against chasing. Hold the BTC core and SOL.”

  57. Sep 12Equity $10,141
    Close SOL $2Long HYPE $2,000

    “SOL funding flipped positive and price stalled. Rotate into HYPE after a 7d washout inside a strong 30d trend, with slight negative funding. Keep the profitable BTC core.”

  58. Sep 13Equity $10,220
    Close HYPE -$62

    “7d downtrend and positive funding broke the HYPE washout thesis; close the loser. Keep profitable BTC 2x core with far liquidation into Wednesday Fed risk.”

  59. Sep 14Equity $10,124
    Close BTC $151

    “Rate-hike and Fed headlines threaten the rally. Trim BTC to lock part of the gain; keep a 2x core far from liquidation. No new risk.”

  60. Sep 15Equity $10,122
    Close BTC $133

    “Senate bill collapse is a fresh multi-day negative shock; 7d momentum and funding both work against longs. Lock the BTC gain and stand aside rather than chase the dump.”

  61. Sep 16Equity $10,122
    Hold

    “Bill defeat and Fed risk still unresolved; 24h bounce is thin inside a weak 7d tape. Cash earns nothing but avoids a binary gap. Stand aside.”

  62. Sep 17Equity $10,447
    Long SOL $3,000

    “Regulatory headlines remain a drag, but price is confirming a bounce. SOL has the cleanest 24h and 7d trend with the lowest funding. Small 2x long, far from liquidation.”

  63. Sep 18Equity $10,409
    Long BTC $3,500

    “Broad uptrend confirmed; funding not extreme. Hold winning SOL far from liquidation and add a modest 2x BTC long on fiscal-bid momentum.”

  64. Sep 19Equity $10,453
    Long HYPE $3,000

    “HYPE leads 7d momentum on a mild pullback with normal funding. Add a small 2x long; hold SOL and BTC far from liquidation.”

  65. Sep 20Equity $11,046
    Long ETH $2,500

    “7d uptrend intact and funding mild. Deploy idle cash into lagging ETH at 2x; hold SOL, BTC, and HYPE far from liquidation.”

  66. Sep 21Equity $10,990
    Close HYPE $60

    “HYPE stalled with 30% funding while BTC, ETH, and SOL trends stay clean. Close HYPE to cut carry; hold core longs far from liquidation and keep cash.”

  67. Sep 22Equity $10,665
    Long HYPE $2,000

    “Core BTC, ETH, and SOL uptrends remain intact with moderate funding and wide liquidation buffers. Redeploy a slice of cash into leading HYPE now that its funding has normalized.”

  68. Sep 23Equity $10,683
    Hold

    “One-day yield shock, not a trend break. 7d momentum and liquidation buffers remain intact; funding is moderate. Hold core longs and keep cash.”

  69. Sep 24Equity $10,820
    Close HYPE -$109

    “Cut lagging HYPE after another down day; options expiry raises near-term BTC volatility. Hold SOL, BTC, and ETH trends with wide liquidation buffers and cash.”

  70. Sep 25Equity $10,772
    Close SOL $199Long XRP $1,800

    “Trim extended SOL into hack headlines; hold BTC and ETH trends. Add a small XRP long on strong 7d momentum and mild funding.”

  71. Sep 26Equity $10,761
    Hold

    “Core uptrends and liquidation buffers remain intact with moderate funding. Q3-end caution argues against adding risk. Hold BTC, ETH, SOL, and XRP and keep cash.”

  72. Sep 27Equity $10,633
    Hold

    “Uptrends and wide liquidation buffers remain intact; funding is moderate. Clarity Act setback argues against adding risk. Hold BTC, ETH, SOL, and XRP and keep cash.”

  73. Sep 28Equity $10,631
    Close XRP -$84

    “Geopolitical selloff and negative 7d momentum. Cut lagging underwater XRP. Hold BTC, ETH, and SOL with wide liquidation buffers and cash.”

  74. Sep 29Equity $10,616
    Hold

    “7d momentum is soft and yields are rising, so no new risk. BTC, ETH, and SOL remain profitable with wide liquidation buffers and moderate funding.”

  75. Sep 30Equity $10,690
    Close SOL $81

    “Bull score 90 warns of crowded longs. Trim extended SOL into strength; hold BTC and ETH with wide buffers, low leverage, and cash.”

  76. Oct 1Equity $10,640
    Hold

    “Majors still grind higher with wide liquidation buffers and moderate funding. Political headlines are noise, not a selloff. Keep BTC, ETH, and SOL; cash stays dry.”

  77. Oct 2Equity $10,680
    Hold

    “Majors remain profitable with wide liquidation buffers and moderate funding. Soft 7d momentum and negative headlines argue against adding risk. Hold BTC, ETH, and SOL; keep cash.”

  78. Oct 3Equity $10,862
    Long BTC $2,000

    “BTC is the only major with positive 7d drift and moderate funding. Add a small low-leverage long; keep wide buffers and cash.”

  79. Oct 4Equity $10,781
    Hold

    “Majors still grind higher with wide liquidation buffers and moderate funding. Mixed 7d momentum argues against adding risk. Hold BTC, ETH, and SOL; keep cash.”

  80. Oct 5Equity $10,752
    Hold

    “Positions remain profitable with wide liquidation buffers and moderate funding. Soft daily tape and mixed momentum argue against adding risk. Hold BTC, ETH, and SOL; keep cash.”

  81. Oct 6Equity $10,442
    Close SOL $113

    “BTC rejected 87k again and longs were flushed. Bank part of SOL's extended gain; keep core BTC, ETH, SOL longs with wide buffers and dry cash.”

  82. Oct 7Equity $10,302
    Close ETH -$71Close SOL $65

    “Risk-off flush; ETH is the losing leg. Cut ETH, bank half remaining SOL gains, hold BTC above entry with a wide buffer and cash.”

  83. Oct 8Equity $10,327
    Close SOL $35Close BTC -$21

    “BTC is below entry after a broad flush and $1B liquidations. Bank remaining SOL gains and halve BTC; keep cash and do not chase shorts.”

  84. Oct 9Equity $10,339
    Hold

    “BTC is only slightly above entry after a flush, with negative 7d momentum and skeptical headlines. Wide liquidation buffer; do not add risk. Hold.”

  85. Oct 10Equity $10,391
    Long BTC $3,000

    “BTC is back above entry with the lowest funding and strongest 30d trend. Add a small low-leverage long; keep most cash given weak 7d tape and skeptical headlines.”

  86. Oct 11Equity $10,197
    Long BTC $2,500

    “BTC leads with negative funding, a 30d uptrend, and a wide liquidation buffer. 7d weakness and costly alt funding argue against chasing alts. Add a small low-leverage BTC long.”

  87. Oct 12Equity $10,258
    Close BTC -$61

    “BTC is below entry after another down day and a weak 7d tape. Trim half the long to cut drawdown; keep a wide-buffer core and cash, no alt chase.”

  88. Oct 13Equity $10,183
    Hold

    “BTC is only slightly green after a bounce, with 7d still negative. Cheap funding is not a chase signal. Keep the wide-buffer core and cash.”

  89. Oct 14Equity $10,179
    Close BTC -$69

    “BTC is below entry in a broad 7d down tape and still pays funding. Close the long to lock a small loss and keep cash for the last day.”

  90. Oct 15Equity $10,179
    Hold

    “Last decision fills at this close, so a new position only pays fees and slippage with no further session to harvest. Stay flat in cash.”