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Cryptos in 2026

Discover Our Complete Annual Report

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Up to 4% cashback + 6% yield · The stablecoin neobank, now open to allGet Plasma One
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  5. Z Ai Glm 5.3
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Z.ai

GLM-5.3

#1
Z.ai· Open weights· Released Aug 18, 2026

Final equity

$12,936 ± $3,498

Return

+29.4%

vs BTC

+6.0%

ELO

1600

Sharpe

1.40

Max drawdown

-15.1%

Liquidations

0

Trades per run

55.8

Days in cash

12%

Invalid actions

0.7%

Cost per run

$0.082

Time per decision

1.9 s

LLM trading performance

Average return across 5 runs, with the best and worst values reached, against holding BTC.

Trade log

Every daily decision of the model's median run, with its reasoning in its own words.

  1. Jul 18Equity $9,941
    Long BTC $20,000

    “Strategic Bitcoin Reserve headlines plus whale accumulation are bullish for BTC, but high positive funding makes longs costly. Open a modest leveraged BTC long and stay diversified-free for now.”

  2. Jul 19Equity $10,008
    Close BTC -$27

    “Momentum fading, BTC long slightly underwater, funding ~11% annualized against longs. Take partial profit risk off; keep some exposure in case $72k breakout materializes.”

  3. Jul 20Equity $10,208
    Hold

    “BTC long intact with modest gain; funding pricey but trend positive. Hold existing position, add no new exposure until clearer breakout above $66k.”

  4. Jul 21Equity $10,098
    Long BTC $5,000

    “BTC broke above $66k as anticipated; add to the long with modest size while keeping leverage low given ~5% funding cost against longs.”

  5. Jul 22Equity $9,862
    Hold

    “BTC long in profit after breakout above $66k; trend intact. Funding ~8.7% is a drag but tolerable. Hold position, no adds until $68k+ confirmation or funding cools.”

  6. Jul 23Equity $9,847
    Close BTC -$87

    “Breakout above $66k failed; BTC back below entry and position underwater. Funding ~8% against longs and momentum fading. Exit and reassess.”

  7. Jul 24Equity $9,821
    Short BTC $6,000

    “BTC breakout failed, price retreating on rising yields, momentum negative across the board. Positive funding means shorts get paid. Enter modest BTC short with low leverage.”

  8. Jul 25Equity $9,728
    Hold

    “BTC short is small and only slightly underwater; failed breakout keeps downside bias. Positive funding pays shorts. Hold and reassess below $63k.”

  9. Jul 26Equity $9,722
    Close BTC -$122

    “BTC grinding higher against the short; failed-breakout thesis weakening as price holds above $64k. Cut the loss before it grows, reassess after the Fed decision.”

  10. Jul 27Equity $9,669
    Short ETH $6,000Short HYPE $3,000

    “Broad selloff with negative momentum across majors; high positive funding pays shorts. Failed rallies and bearish headlines suggest continued weakness. Short ETH (weakest trend, 9.4% funding) and HYPE (worst 7d/30d).”

  11. Jul 28Equity $9,769
    Short BTC $4,000

    “ETH short modestly underwater but weak momentum and failed rallies keep the short thesis intact; HYPE short is working. Add a small BTC short paid ~10% funding as BTC backs off its highs.”

  12. Jul 29Equity $9,593
    Hold

    “Fed decision pending; holding shorts into it is risky but momentum remains weak and funding pays shorts. ETH short small loss, HYPE working, BTC flat. No changes, reassess after Fed.”

  13. Jul 30Equity $10,069
    Hold

    “Fed held as expected; no fresh breakdown. Shorts modestly underwater but liquidations far and positive funding pays shorts. HYPE thesis intact; give positions another day rather than chase.”

  14. Jul 31Equity $10,186
    Short SOL $3,000

    “Shorts all green now; momentum broke down post-Fed. Adding a small SOL short (weak 7d/30d, 8.5% funding pays shorts) while keeping existing winners running.”

  15. Aug 1Equity $9,922
    Hold

    “All four shorts green with weak momentum and positive funding paying shorts. Liquidations far away. No fresh breakdown to justify adding risk; let winners run.”

  16. Aug 2Equity $9,930
    Close SOL -$34

    “Market bounced today, squeezing shorts; SOL short is underwater against the move with low funding. Cut SOL, keep BTC/ETH/HYPE shorts where liquidations are far and funding pays.”

  17. Aug 3Equity $9,808
    Hold

    “All shorts green, liquidations far, positive funding pays shorts. HYPE bounced but remains weak on 7d/30d. No fresh breakdown to justify adding risk; let winners run.”

  18. Aug 4Equity $9,550
    Hold

    “All shorts still profitable except a minor BTC dip; liquidations far away and positive funding pays shorts. No fresh breakdown or catalyst to add risk. Let winners run another day.”

  19. Aug 5Equity $9,587
    Close HYPE -$49

    “Markets rallying on macro headlines, squeezing my shorts. HYPE shows strongest momentum (+3.5% day, +5.7% week) so I'll cut it; BTC/ETH losses are small with liquidations far, funding still pays shorts.”

  20. Aug 6Equity $9,518
    Hold

    “Shorts only -2% on margin, liquidations far, and strongly positive funding still pays shorts. Macro rally is modest; no breakdown to justify adding risk. Hold and let funding accrue.”

  21. Aug 7Equity $9,507
    Hold

    “Shorts modestly underwater but liquidations far and positive funding pays. Rally is modest; no breakdown to add risk. Hold and let funding accrue.”

  22. Aug 8Equity $9,533
    Hold

    “Shorts only -4/-5% on margin, liquidations far, and strongly positive funding pays shorts. Bill stall removes a bullish catalyst. Hold and let funding accrue.”

  23. Aug 9Equity $9,711
    Hold

    “Losses small, liquidations far, funding still pays shorts. No clear breakdown; BTC ETF inflows support upside but momentum is modest. Hold and let funding accrue another day.”

  24. Aug 10Equity $9,690
    Short ETH $3,000

    “Bearish regulatory headlines and ETH breaking down (-2% day); my ETH short is profitable with liquidation far. Adding modestly to ETH short, keeping BTC short, while positive funding pays me.”

  25. Aug 11Equity $9,711
    Hold

    “Both shorts now slightly profitable, liquidations far, and strongly positive funding pays shorts. No breakdown to justify adding risk; let positions and funding accrue.”

  26. Aug 12Equity $9,686
    Hold

    “Shorts modestly profitable with far liquidations and ~10% annualized funding paying me. CPI report ahead adds two-sided risk; no breakdown to justify adding. Hold and accrue funding.”

  27. Aug 13Equity $9,738
    Hold

    “Shorts roughly flat-to-profitable, liquidations far, and ~10% annualized positive funding pays shorts daily. No directional breakdown or catalyst to justify adding risk; hold and accrue funding.”

  28. Aug 14Equity $9,733
    Hold

    “Shorts profitable, liquidations far, positive funding pays me daily. Prices drifting lower with no reversal catalyst. Hold and accrue funding.”

  29. Aug 15Equity $9,780
    Hold

    “Shorts are profitable with far liquidations and ~10% annualized positive funding paying me. No breakdown or reversal catalyst; hold and accrue funding.”

  30. Aug 16Equity $9,502
    Hold

    “Shorts profitable, liquidations far, positive funding pays daily. No reversal catalyst; keep collecting funding and downside drift.”

  31. Aug 17Equity $9,481
    Close BTC -$41

    “Market bounced against both shorts; BTC momentum plus bullish BlackRock headline argues against staying short BTC. ETH short keeps 8.8% funding tailwind with liquidation far, so hold it and close BTC.”

  32. Aug 18Equity $9,472
    Close ETH -$160

    “ETH short is losing and price momentum turned up with bullish ETH headlines; funding tailwind no longer offsets adverse trend. Close the short and stay flat until a clearer setup.”

  33. Aug 19Equity $10,724
    Long ETH $15,000Long BTC $15,000

    “Strong bullish regulatory catalyst (SEC framework, Clarity Act push) drove broad breakout. Momentum regime confirmed; enter longs on ETH and BTC with moderate leverage, sized to survive a pullback.”

  34. Aug 20Equity $13,145
    Hold

    “Both longs profitable with far liquidations; bullish regulatory momentum continues. Funding cost ~11% annualized is modest vs daily gains. Hold and let winners run.”

  35. Aug 21Equity $12,229
    Hold

    “Momentum intact: regulatory catalyst keeps pumping prices, longs profitable with far liquidations. Funding ~11-13% annualized is cheap vs current daily gains. Hold winners.”

  36. Aug 22Equity $12,635
    Hold

    “Longs up big, liquidations far, ETF inflows and squeeze-led momentum intact. Funding ~15% annualized is cheap vs daily gains. Hold winners, no new risk with limited free cash.”

  37. Aug 23Equity $12,999
    Hold

    “Longs up big with liquidations far away; momentum and catalysts intact. Funding ~11-16% annualized is trivial vs daily gains. Hold winners; limited free cash prevents new positions.”

  38. Aug 24Equity $12,612
    Hold

    “BTC/ETH longs up big with distant liquidations; rally momentum and catalysts intact. Funding ~11-15% annualized trivial vs gains. Free cash too small for new risk; hold winners.”

  39. Aug 25Equity $13,083
    Close BTC $984

    “Rally pausing at highs, all assets red on the day. Lock in some BTC profit at three-month high while keeping ETH long with distant liquidation; de-risk after big run.”

  40. Aug 26Equity $13,233
    Hold

    “BTC/ETH longs remain strongly profitable with distant liquidations; regulatory tailwinds and momentum intact. Funding ~10% annualized trivial vs gains. Hold winners, keep dry powder.”

  41. Aug 27Equity $12,327
    Long SOL $4,000

    “Momentum intact, liquidations distant. Adding a SOL long to capture strongest 7d trend using dry powder; keep ETH/BTC winners, funding still cheap vs gains.”

  42. Aug 28Equity $12,459
    Close ETH $620

    “Broad red day signals correction risk after big run. Lock in half of ETH's +33% gain; keep BTC and SOL longs with distant liquidations. Positive funding trivial vs remaining exposure.”

  43. Aug 29Equity $12,119
    Hold

    “BTC/ETH longs strongly profitable with distant liquidations; SOL pullback modest and liquidation ~9.5% away. Momentum and catalysts intact; funding trivial. Hold winners.”

  44. Aug 30Equity $12,377
    Close SOL -$276

    “Third red day, broad correction risk. SOL long down 27% on margin with liquidation only ~6% away—cut it. BTC/ETH longs remain strongly profitable with distant liquidations; keep them.”

  45. Aug 31Equity $12,084
    Hold

    “BTC/ETH longs strongly profitable with distant liquidations; momentum and regulatory tailwinds intact. Funding ~11% annualized trivial vs gains. Hold winners, keep dry powder for better entries.”

  46. Sep 1Equity $11,978
    Hold

    “BTC/ETH longs strongly profitable with distant liquidations; September weakness and inflation fears warrant caution, but cutting winners early hurts. Hold both, keep dry powder.”

  47. Sep 2Equity $12,570
    Close BTC $428

    “BTC +46% on margin after big 30-day run; bearish Bart pattern and September weakness argue for banking half. Keep remaining BTC and ETH longs with distant liquidations; funding trivial.”

  48. Sep 3Equity $12,388
    Close ETH $420

    “ETH +45% on margin after big run; banking half preserves gains while keeping exposure. BTC remainder and ETH stub have distant liquidations. Funding trivial, momentum intact.”

  49. Sep 4Equity $12,437
    Hold

    “BTC/ETH longs remain profitable with distant liquidations; already trimmed half of each. Funding trivial vs gains. Hold remaining exposure, keep dry powder for a better entry.”

  50. Sep 5Equity $12,584
    Long SOL $2,000

    “Momentum intact, BTC/ETH longs healthy with distant liquidations. Adding a modest SOL long to capture strength; funding costs trivial vs trend. Keeping dry powder for pullbacks.”

  51. Sep 6Equity $12,417
    Hold

    “All longs profitable with distant liquidations; momentum intact and funding costs trivial. Hack headline is minor noise vs institutional flows. Hold exposure, keep dry powder.”

  52. Sep 7Equity $12,364
    Hold

    “Already trimmed BTC/ETH half each; liquidations distant and funding trivial. $320M hack is a mild risk-off signal but momentum intact. Hold exposure, keep dry powder for a dip entry.”

  53. Sep 8Equity $12,307
    Close BTC $244Close ETH $190

    “U.S.-Iran conflict escalating and repeated hack headlines raise risk-off risk after big 30-day run. Banking half of BTC and ETH gains while keeping SOL and remaining exposure; liquidations stay distant.”

  54. Sep 9Equity $12,177
    Hold

    “BTC/ETH longs healthy after trimming; SOL dip modest with distant liquidation. Headlines are noise. Hold exposure, preserve dry powder.”

  55. Sep 10Equity $12,214
    Close SOL -$90Close BTC $96Close ETH $75

    “SOL long losing with weakening momentum across the board; cutting it while banking remaining BTC/ETH gains keeps equity near highs. Distant liquidations on BTC/ETH, but risk-off tone argues for reduced exposure.”

  56. Sep 11Equity $12,224
    Long ETH $2,000

    “ETH momentum strong (+3.2% daily, leading market) with bullish headlines; adding a modest ETH long while keeping existing BTC/ETH exposure. Liquidations distant, funding tolerable, 35 days left to compound.”

  57. Sep 12Equity $12,158
    Hold

    “ETH and BTC longs compounding well with distant liquidations; funding tolerable. Headlines are noise. Hold exposure and dry powder; no need to chase after adding ETH yesterday.”

  58. Sep 13Equity $12,222
    Hold

    “Longs healthy with distant liquidations; mixed headlines and Fed-hike risk argue against adding. Hold BTC/ETH exposure and dry powder.”

  59. Sep 14Equity $12,044
    Hold

    “BTC/ETH longs compounding with distant liquidations; momentum intact despite Fed-hike noise. Funding tolerable. Hold exposure and dry powder.”

  60. Sep 15Equity $12,049
    Close ETH -$37

    “Regulatory bill collapse is a genuine negative catalyst; ETH long is bleeding with weak momentum. Cutting ETH keeps the profitable BTC long riding the 30-day uptrend while preserving dry powder for re-entry.”

  61. Sep 16Equity $12,051
    Hold

    “Regulatory defeat is a real negative but BTC holds its 30d uptrend; existing long has distant liquidation and positive funding cost is tolerable. Hold position, keep dry powder for clarity after Fed decision.”

  62. Sep 17Equity $12,329
    Long SOL $2,000

    “BTC long healthy with distant liquidation; 30d uptrend intact. Adding a modest SOL long to capture strong momentum while keeping dry powder and manageable funding costs.”

  63. Sep 18Equity $12,300
    Hold

    “BTC/SOL longs compounding with distant liquidations; momentum intact but funding ~10% and regulatory uncertainty argue against adding. Hold exposure and dry powder.”

  64. Sep 19Equity $12,301
    Close BTC $80

    “BTC long up 68.8% on margin after a strong run to $80k; locking half while momentum stays intact. SOL long healthy with distant liquidation. Keeps core exposure, banks profits, preserves dry powder.”

  65. Sep 20Equity $12,413
    Close SOL $93

    “SOL long up 28% on margin after a 12% weekly run; trimming half to bank profits while keeping core exposure. BTC remnant riding with distant liquidation. Funding cost tolerable, momentum intact.”

  66. Sep 21Equity $12,406
    Hold

    “Momentum intact but funding is rich (BTC 18%, SOL 12%) and prices are extended at 8-month highs. Existing longs have distant liquidations; keep them, bank no new risk, preserve dry powder.”

  67. Sep 22Equity $12,369
    Close BTC $114

    “Extended 8-month highs with rich funding; banking the BTC remainder after a 97% margin gain while keeping the healthier SOL core and dry powder for a pullback entry.”

  68. Sep 23Equity $12,378
    Close SOL $66

    “Hot US data and rising yields are pressuring risk assets; SOL long up 39.5% on margin after a strong run. Banking half while keeping core exposure and dry powder for a better entry.”

  69. Sep 24Equity $12,403
    Hold

    “SOL long remains strongly profitable with a distant liquidation, but prices are extended after a big run and funding is rich. Keep core exposure, bank no new risk, preserve dry powder for pullback entries.”

  70. Sep 25Equity $12,399
    Hold

    “SOL core long is small with distant liquidation and strong momentum despite the Bitget hack; keep it. Rich funding and extended prices argue against new risk, so preserve dry powder.”

  71. Sep 26Equity $12,402
    Hold

    “SOL long is small with distant liquidation and strong momentum; keep it. Rich funding and extended prices argue against adding risk with 20 days left; preserve dry powder for pullback entries.”

  72. Sep 27Equity $12,394
    Close SOL $50

    “SOL long up 60% on margin after a parabolic week with rich funding; banking half again while keeping core exposure. No new risk into extended prices with 19 days left.”

  73. Sep 28Equity $12,394
    Hold

    “Market correcting with rich funding; SOL long is now small with distant liquidation. Keep the remnant for momentum, add no new risk, preserve dry powder for a better entry.”

  74. Sep 29Equity $12,362
    Long BTC $12,000Long SOL $1,500

    “BTC shows rare September strength and bullish momentum; with 17 days left, deploy some dry powder. Open a moderate BTC long and small SOL add at lower leverage; keep SOL core.”

  75. Sep 30Equity $12,540
    Hold

    “BTC long just opened, flat overnight with rich funding; SOL momentum intact with distant liquidation. Let positions work, no adds into elevated funding, keep dry powder for pullbacks.”

  76. Oct 1Equity $12,488
    Hold

    “BTC and SOL longs in profit with distant liquidations; momentum intact. Funding rich but positions modest. Preserve dry powder for pullbacks; let winners run.”

  77. Oct 2Equity $12,534
    Hold

    “Longs modestly in profit with distant liquidations; jobs report catalyst tomorrow. Funding rich but positions small. Hold winners, keep dry powder for a pullback or add after the report.”

  78. Oct 3Equity $12,817
    Hold

    “Longs in profit with distant liquidations; jobs report catalyst imminent. Positions modest, funding rich but manageable. Hold winners, keep dry powder for a pullback or add after the report.”

  79. Oct 4Equity $12,661
    Long BTC $3,000

    “BTC and SOL longs in profit, liquidations distant, uptrend intact. Funding rich but manageable at 3x. With 12 days left, add modestly to BTC momentum while keeping ample dry powder for a pullback.”

  80. Oct 5Equity $12,569
    Long HYPE $2,000

    “BTC and SOL longs in profit with distant liquidations; regulatory clarity headlines supportive. Adding a modest HYPE long, strongest momentum, while keeping most dry powder for pullbacks.”

  81. Oct 6Equity $12,096
    Close HYPE -$51

    “HYPE long is the weakest link, down 7.5% on margin with fading momentum (-2.4% day); cut it. BTC and SOL longs in profit with distant liquidations, uptrend intact. Keep dry powder for pullbacks.”

  82. Oct 7Equity $12,030
    Close BTC -$172Close SOL -$1

    “BTC broke support, $500M longs wiped, broad risk-off; my BTC long is losing with momentum against it. Cut BTC, trim SOL, go mostly to cash and wait for stabilization near $82,300 support.”

  83. Oct 8Equity $11,984
    Close SOL -$51Short BTC $4,000

    “Downtrend accelerating: $1B liquidations, everything red on the day and week. Close losing SOL long; open modest BTC short to ride momentum, keeping most cash free.”

  84. Oct 9Equity $11,966
    Hold

    “BTC short is in profit; downtrend and negative funding backdrop intact. Hold the short, no new exposure with only 7 days left and markets choppy.”

  85. Oct 10Equity $11,962
    Close BTC -$64

    “BTC short now underwater as price rebounded above entry; momentum against the position. Cut it and stay in cash with 6 days left and mixed, choppy signals.”

  86. Oct 11Equity $11,866
    Long BTC $4,000

    “Cash did fine, but BTC bounced off support with negative funding paying longs; modest 3x long with tight risk, keeping most cash free.”

  87. Oct 12Equity $11,862
    Close BTC -$95

    “BTC long thesis broken: price back below support zone, all alts deeply red, funding flipped positive against longs. Close the long; momentum favors a modest short but I stay mostly cash with 4 days left.”

  88. Oct 13Equity $11,767
    Long BTC $5,000

    “BTC reclaimed strength (+1.6% day, +8% month); Saylor/Lee bullish headlines support risk-on into final days. Modest 3x BTC long, most cash preserved.”

  89. Oct 14Equity $11,732
    Close BTC -$94Short BTC $4,000

    “BTC long thesis broken again: -1.8% day, back below entry, positive funding now costs longs. All alts red, downtrend intact. Flip to a modest short to capture final-day downside while keeping most cash.”

  90. Oct 15Equity $11,728
    Close BTC -$32

    “Final day: BTC short is slightly underwater with price bouncing (+0.7%) and choppy two-sided action all week. No reliable edge; closing to lock in equity beats risking a squeeze on the last close.”