Hyperliquid HIP-4 prediction markets
Live HIP-4 outcome markets on Hyperliquid, with implied probabilities, 24h volume, expiry countdowns, and direct Yes/No trade links for every side.
What are Hyperliquid HIP-4 prediction markets?
HIP-4 is Hyperliquid's prediction market framework, letting users trade the outcome of future events directly on-chain. Each market resolves Yes or No on a defined question, and prices act as live, market-implied probabilities until the event settles.
How do HIP-4 outcome markets work?
Every HIP-4 market has a clear question, an expiry date and an oracle resolution rule. Traders buy or sell Yes/No shares between $0 and $1, with the price reflecting the implied probability. At expiry, the winning side settles to $1 and the losing side to $0.
What can you trade on HIP-4?
HIP-4 covers crypto-native events (token launches, governance votes, ETF approvals), macro and political outcomes, sports results and any other defined-outcome question a deployer chooses to list. The OAK Research HIP-4 page surfaces live probabilities, 24h volume and expiry countdowns.
HIP-4 vs Polymarket: what's the difference?
Polymarket runs on Polygon with USDC settlement, while HIP-4 lives on Hyperliquid and benefits from its on-chain order book and HyperEVM tooling. HIP-4 also slots into the same trading interface as HIP-3 perpetuals and Hyperliquid's native perps, giving traders a single venue for outcomes, equities and crypto.